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The Channel

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Trade Idea of the Day Presented by: Emerging Money

Credit Knows

Today’s chart highlights where markets sit in the context of recent volatility, but very distant memories. The focus is High Yield Credit. High Yield credit should always be consulted to determine the health of the economy and where markets are leading.  Right now we are concerned with high ... Read More

Stocks Have Partied Hard Since Election Night... Now Comes the Hangover

The market is now on very thin ice. Yesterday worked off some of the “oversold” status for stocks, but we are in extremely dangerous territory today. The S&P 500 has taken out critical support as well as the bull market trending running back to early November. More concerning for the bulls: bank stocks, which lead to the upside, are now leading to the downside. It looks as though the ENTIRE move in the markets since election night is going to unwind. This is a major wake up call, I hope you’re paying attention. The markets have rallied on hype and hope of the economy roaring back to life...

Black Knight: Mortgage Delinquencies Declined in February

From Black Knight: Black Knight Financial Services’ First Look at February Mortgage Data: Prepayment Activity Continues to Decline, Down 40 Percent So Far in 2017• Prepayment speeds (historically a good indicator of refinance activity) declined 15 percent in February, marking a 40 percent overall year-to-date decline and the lowest monthly rate in three years. Delinquencies continued their seasonal decline, ticking down .98 percent from January. Foreclosure starts fell 18 percent from last month to 31 percent below last year’s levels. Active foreclosure inventory now stands at 470,000, the lowest such level since June 2007...

5 Charts That Scream "This Is It"

Before yesterday, the S&P 500 and DJIA hadn’t seen a 1% drop since October 2016. For some perspective, Hillary Clinton was the presidential frontrunner the last time markets fell 1%. This was the longest such streak for both...

Thursday: New Home Sales, Unemployment Claims

The warmer weather probably didn't impact February existing home sales, because existing home sales are counted when the contract closes. However the warm February may have boosted New Home sales since new home sales are counted when contracts are signed - and there were probably more people out looking in some parts of the country with the warmer weather. Thursday: At 8:30 AM ET, The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released. The consensus s for 240 thousand initial claims, down from 241 thousand...

The Powerful Option Strategy In Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

LEDE If we apply risk controls to a very common option strategy in Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD), we find better returns with less risk. PREFACE While Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) is rightfully garnering all of the headlines for its successes in end-to-end machine learning and artificial intelligence that are driven by its GPU processors, there is a smaller technology company that is competing -- Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASDAQ:AMD). While AMD stock has been ripping, there is a risk conscious approach to options that benefits from the stock "not going down a lot," and it has performed exceedingly well...

AIA: Architecture Billings Index increased in February

The Architecture Billings Index (ABI) returned to growth mode in February, after a weak showing in January. As a leading economic indicator of construction activity, the ABI reflects the approximate nine to twelve month lead time between architecture billings and construction spending. The American Institute of Architects (AIA) reported the February ABI score was 50.7, up from a score of 49.5 in the previous month. This score reflects a minor increase in design services (any score above 50 indicates an increase in billings). The new projects inquiry index was 61.5, up from a reading of 60.0 the previous month, while the new…

Peak Gold – Biggest Gold Story Not Being Reported

Peak gold – Biggest gold story not being reported – Gold ‘Mining Zombie Apocalypse’ caused miners to slash exploration budgets – Decline in gold production at world’s top 10 gold mining companies – Byron King – “No new big mines being built in the world today” – Glencore CEO Glasenberg – Primary global gold output declined in 2016 – Thomson Reuters via Mining.com – 2016 was first year of fall in mine production since 2008 – Rising safe haven demand from...

Gartman Goes Short: "Something Broke In The Markets Yesterday"

Just when it seemed the follow through from yesterday's selloff would continue, algos may have found the only catalyst they need to press the bid: in his overnight note, Dennis Gartman writes "we actually ventured to the short side of the market, buying bearish derivatives and by 1:00 in the...

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