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- Read actionable options commentary from Jared Woodard of Condor Options.
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The chart below shows the relative attractiveness of major ETFs for hedging and speculative trades based on their market beta and implied volatility. Specifically, the chart shows the four-week downside beta of major ETFs against SPY along the x axis, with two month at the money put option implied volatility along the y axis. Down beta is calculated using only dates with negative market returns. Here’s how we use this information. High beta, low implied volatility ETFs offer cheaper hedge protection, since puts can be bought at lower cost while... -Condor Options
Thanks to QE, contrarian investors have become an endangered species. Going short prematurely has ‘killed’ many. The surviving contrarians suffer from PTPSD (post-traumatic premature short disorder). In times past, this extreme would get contrarians excited. Active investment managers polled by the National Association for Active Investment Managers (NAAIM) were record long last week. The significance of this indicator (or lack thereof) can easily be misconstrued and lead contrarian investors in the wrong direction. This article will take a look at... -iSpyETF
Stocks are known to run on bullish fumes going into the Thanksgiving holiday, but running out of gas thereafter. The ‘tryptophan effect’ doesn’t only hit investors, it seems to also embalm Wall Street. The anticipation for a tasty and heavy turkey dinner is often followed by an unruly urge to nap. Stocks tend to feel the same way. Long-term stats tell us that bullish seasonality leading up to Thanksgiving (and other holidays) is often followed by some sort of post holiday hangover. The S&P 500 (SNP: ^GSPC), Dow Jones and in... -iSpyETF
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