Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March - InvestingChannel

Lawler: Preliminary Table of Distressed Sales and Cash buyers for Selected Cities in March

Wednesday:
• At 7:00 AM ET, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

• At 8:30 AM, NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey for April. The consensus is for a reading of 7.0, up from 6.9 last month (above zero is expansion).

• At 9:15 AM, the Fed will release Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization for March. The consensus is for a 0.3% decrease in Industrial Production, and for Capacity Utilization to decrease to 78.7%.

• At 10:00 AM, the April NAHB homebuilder survey. The consensus is for a reading of 55, up from 53 last month. Any number above 50 indicates that more builders view sales conditions as good than poor.

• At 2:00 PM, the Federal Reserve Beige Book, an informal review by the Federal Reserve Banks of current economic conditions in their Districts.

Economist Tom Lawler sent me the preliminary table below of short sales, foreclosures and cash buyers for a few selected cities in March.

On distressed: Total “distressed” share is down in most of these markets mostly due to a decline in short sales (Mid-Atlantic is up year-over-year because of an increase foreclosure as lenders work through the backlog).

Short sales are down in these areas.

The All Cash Share (last two columns) is declining year-over-year. As investors pull back, the share of all cash buyers will probably continue to decline.

  Short Sales Share Foreclosure Sales Share Total “Distressed” Share All Cash Share
Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-14 Mar-15 Mar-14
Las Vegas 8.3% 12.9% 9.3% 11.7% 17.6% 24.6% 32.4% 43.1%
Reno** 5.0% 14.0% 8.0% 7.0% 13.0% 21.0%    
Phoenix           27.5% 33.1%
Minneapolis 2.9% 4.9% 12.2% 21.9% 15.1% 26.8%    
Mid-Atlantic 4.7% 7.7% 14.0% 10.9% 18.8% 18.5% 18.2% 19.9%
Tucson           32.0% 33.5%
Chicago (city)       21.9% 28.8%    
Northeast Florida       31.0% 39.1%    
Hampton Roads       22.7% 24.5%    
Toledo           32.7% 40.7%
Des Moines           16.3% 20.8%
Toledo           32.7% 40.7%
Georgia***           23.2% 33.8%
Tucson           32.0% 33.5%
Richmond VA MSA   11.9% 18.1%     18.0% 21.1%
Memphis*     15.0% 17.6%        
*share of existing home sales, based on property records
**Single Family Only
***GAMLS

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