Tuesday: Case-Shiller House Prices, Fed Chair Powell Testimony

From Matthew Graham at Mortgage News Daily: February Easily The Worst Month For Rates in Long Time

There are still 4 business days left in the month of February and thus still 4 days for the bond market to undergo an epic recovery that helps mortgage rates come back down. But traders and market-watchers alike have pined for–if not outright expected–such a recovery several times in the past few weeks only to be disappointed. Merely avoiding additional rate spikes would be a victory at this point.

Even if we can manage to avoid further rate spikes, February will still go down as the worst month for rates since January 2018 (March 2020 was worse at face value, but it’s not really a fair comparison due to the unprecedented bond market reaction to the pandemic).

Some back-of-the-napkin math (OK, it’s actually more official than that) shows the average lender charging at least a quarter of a percent more today than at the end of January. Depending on the initial rate quote, today’s rates are .375% higher in many cases. [30 year fixed 3.10%]
emphasis added

Tuesday:
• At 9:00 AM ET, FHFA House Price Index for December 2020. This was originally a GSE only repeat sales, however there is also an expanded index.

• Also at 9:00 AM, S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for December. The consensus is for a 9.1% year-over-year increase in the Comp 20 index for December.

• At 10:00 AM, Richmond Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for February.

• Also at 10:00 AM, Testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell, Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress, Before the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs, U.S. Senate

Related posts

Idiocy in Spain: Bank Proposal to Build More Houses, Issue More Mortgages, Despite Massive Inventory and Enormous Drop in Sales

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

Sky City: China to Build World’s Tallest Building, 220 Stories, in 90 Days

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

It’s No Wonder People Don’t Understand the “Public” Debt

Angry Bear

EU Budget Laugh of the Day “No One Is Discussing Quality”

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

Via Barry Ritholtz’s  Big Picture comes this PBS six minute …

Angry Bear

Politics and Specific Policies

Angry Bear