• At 3.17%, the U.S. delinquency rate improved by 4 basis points in August and is nearly a full percentage point below its 2015-2019 same-month average
• However, steady slowing in the annual rate of improvement — from -40% in early 2022 to -0.8% as of August – suggests delinquency rates may be nearing cycle lows
• Serious delinquencies (90+ days past due) continued to improve, falling 20K from July to 448K – still the lowest level since June 2006 – and down 151K (-25%) year over year
• Early-stage delinquencies, on the other hand, continued to trend upward, with both 30- and 60-day late populations inching up by 2K, marking the third consecutive monthly increase
• The number of loans in active foreclosure declined to 215K – the lowest level since March 2022 following the end of moratoria on such actions – and is down 68K (-24%) from pre-pandemic February 2020
• August’s 31.9K (+21.3% month over month) foreclosure starts – equating to 6.8% of serious delinquencies – were still 21% below August 2019 pre-pandemic levels
• While 6.9K foreclosure sales marked a 13% increase from July, volumes remain at roughly half pre-pandemic levels
• Prepayment activity (SMM) inched up to 0.53% under pressure from seasonal home buying patterns, while interest rates north of 7% continue to hold prepayment speeds at historically low levels
emphasis added
According to Black Knight’s First Look report, the percent of loans delinquent decreased 1.2% in August compared to July and decreased 0.8% year-over-year.
Black Knight reported the U.S. mortgage delinquency rate (loans 30 or more days past due, but not in foreclosure) was 3.17% in August, down from 3.21% the previous month.
| Black Knight: Percent Loans Delinquent and in Foreclosure Process | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 2023 |
July 2023 |
|||
| Delinquent | 3.17% | 3.21% | ||
| In Foreclosure | 0.41% | 0.42% | ||
| Number of properties: | ||||
| Number of properties that are delinquent, but not in foreclosure: |
1,684,000 | 1,700,000 | ||
| Number of properties in foreclosure pre-sale inventory: |
215,000 | 220,000 | ||
| Total Properties | 1,899,000 | 1,919,000 | ||