Emerging Money Global Markets Education - InvestingChannel

Emerging Money Global Markets Education

Post Yellen Thoughts:  The US Bond Market always leads the policy makers. emj1-SMYesterday, the announcement of a potential move in Fed Funds rate by mid 2015 led to major moves on the US yield curve. As EM guys, we always think a flattening of the long end (5-10s) is a bullish backdrop for our markets.

The theory is that the 5yr bond is the greatest indicator of economic strength, thus pushing yields higher on rate expectations that are medium term oriented.  

The longer end (10yr) will more or less be anchored by inflation expectations, thus the curve will “flatten on the long end” meaning yields will go up in the 5yr part of the curve and yields will not really move in the long end.  

Watch the 5yr bond for signs that real economic growth is real and a cyclical recovery is truly global.sg2014032031851

 

Related posts

The Shine Coming Off Gold prices for Emerging Markets

Emerging Money

Gold – Resuming a Long-Term Uptrend?

PRAGMATIC CAPITALISM

Eurozone crisis live: German parliament votes on Greek deal – The Guardian

Wall Street Examiner

The Benefits of Being Ordinary- Charles Hugh Smith

Wall Street Examiner

Russians May Soon Get a More Diversified Economy

Emerging Money

The Best Performing Emerging Markets Right Now

Emerging Money