JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa says the risk/reward on shares of General Electric (GE) is unfavorable into the company’s Q4 earnings report. GE shares have bounced over the last month, outperforming the group by over 3,000 basis points, Tusa writes in a research note previewing earnings reports for the group. He believes the recent stock move “is built upon an expectation of more certainty in the path forward.” Tusa thinks the focus on the earnings call should turn back to fundamentals, where he continues to see “disconnect with high level analyses from those who apparently ignore the mechanical headwinds from dilutive asset sales, a key aspect as to why FCF remains so weak.” The call will “reinforce the Bear case that there is no concrete silver bullet plan, and much remains fluid, also negative,” Tusa contends. He recommends Honeywell (HON) and Emerson Electric (EMR) as longs into the quarter and tells investors to avoid Johnson Controls (JCI), 3M (MMM) and Rockwell Automation (ROK). Tusa has a Neutral rating on General Electric.