Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas called Tesla “arguably the most strategically important” auto maker, but also one that has “among the widest ranges of outcomes and uncertainty.” He estimates that Tesla will end Q2 with total debt of $13.3B and noted that its 2025 bonds have set new lows following the company’s recent capital raise. Given the company’s increased debt, exposure to China and potential for negative news flow that can hurt its fundamentals, Jonas lowered his “bear case” valuation for Tesla to $10 from $97, driven primarily by his concerns around Chinese demand for Tesla products. However, he keeps a $230 price target for Tesla shares under his “base case” scenario and maintains an Equal Weight rating on the stock.