Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak - InvestingChannel

Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak

Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Inflation Adjusted House Prices 3.9% Below Peak; Price-to-rent index is 7.6% below recent peak

Excerpt:

It has been over 17 years since the bubble peak. In the June Case-Shiller house price index released yesterday, the seasonally adjusted National Index (SA), was reported as being 65% above the bubble peak in 2006. However, in real terms, the National index (SA) is about 9% above the bubble peak (and historically there has been an upward slope to real house prices).  The composite 20, in real terms, is 1% below the bubble peak.

People usually graph nominal house prices, but it is also important to look at prices in real terms.  As an example, if a house price was $200,000 in January 2000, the price would be $359,000 today adjusted for inflation (79.5% increase).  That is why the second graph below is important – this shows “real” prices.


The third graph shows the price-to-rent ratio, and the fourth graph is the affordability index.
The last graph shows the 5-year real return based on the Case-Shiller National Index.

There is much more in the article. You can subscribe at https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/

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