Editor’s Note |
It’s Friday. Time to give you a stock pick from our sister newsletter, The Spill, so you can think about it over the weekend and maybe make a move Monday morning. While The Juice helps you be better with money across the board, The Spill focuses on stocks financial pros are researching and judges how good of buys they are. If you’re already sold, you can sign up for The Spill – for free – here. |
Proprietary Data Insights Financial Pros’ Top Software Infrastructure Stock Searches in the Last Month
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The Backdoor AI Play |
Love ‘em or hate ‘em, you can thank Adobe Systems (ADBE) for every PDF you use. But did you know the company’s a global leader in artificial intelligence? The company’s generative AI is one of the best, capable of editing photos through text and ‘zooming out,’ yielding interesting results. Financial pros have been eying the stock for an entry point. And Monday may have given them an opportunity. So, what happened, and should you follow? Adobe’s Business Yesterday, Adobe announced plans to terminate a $20 billion agreement to acquire Figma, a web-based design tool developer, costing Adobe $1 billion. Financial pros kept a close eye on European regulators who were unlikely to greenlight the deal given the close proximity of the businesses. Adobe is a digital media marketing powerhouse. They bring artwork, graphic design, and creativity to those professionals and those of us who still think magic eye posters are cool. The company’s operations are vast, offering a range of creative, marketing, and document management services. Adobe’s flagship products include software like Photoshop and Acrobat Reader. Additionally, their Creative Cloud platform provides access to the latest versions of all Adobe professional creative desktop applications. Adobe segments its business into the following areas: Digital Media (73% of total revenues) – This segment includes creative cloud services like Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro, and document cloud services such as Acrobat. Digital Experience (25% of total revenues) – This division focuses on providing marketing and analytics solutions to businesses, helping them manage their customer experiences. Publishing and Advertising (2% of total revenues) – This involves legacy products and services that are not part of the company’s strategic focus but continue to generate revenue.
Source: Adobe Investor Relations Adobe reported Q4 earnings last Wednesday, with some notable highlights:
Financials
Source: Stock Analysis Adobe has put up remarkable revenue growth, exceeding 20% from 2016-2019 and 10% from 2020-2023. At the same time, it expanded gross margins a touch while improving on operating margins. We calculated the free cash flow margin by hand and note that it remained consistent around 35%-37% over the last few years. With negligible debt, that’s freed management to repurchase $7.1 billion of stock in 2022 and another $5.6 billion in 2023, or a roughly 2%-3% annual yield. Valuation
Source: Seeking Alpha Adobe’s P/E valuation might seem high. But when you compare it to other high-growth tech names. It’s pretty much in line. Even its 33.2x price-to-cash-flow multiple is slightly higher than Microsoft’s (MSFT) 29.0x and is the same as Okta’s (OKTA). Growth
Source: Seeking Alpha We love Adobe’s consistent growth across all categories, from revenues to earnings. While it’s not as high as Fortinet’s (FTNT), it’s on par with Microsoft and Synopsys (SNPS). We expect Adobe’s lower forward revenue growth to be temporary in an otherwise long-chain of excellence. Profitability
Source: Seeking Alpha Adobe stands out for its profitability, second only to Microsoft. The return on capital, equity, and assets implies excellent capital management and fiscal discipline. Plus, they boast some of the group’s best EBIT and free cash flow margins. Our Opinion 8/10 Although Adobe is expensive, the company consistently delivers exceptional returns for investors. Their suit of products is excellent, catering to customers of all sizes with a custom feel. They’re truly one of the greats in digital design and are unlikely to be surpassed anytime soon. |
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