Currently CPI is a significant market mover, especially for mortgage rates. Here are two previews on the report tomorrow.
From BofA:
After two firm reports to start the year, core CPI inflation should cool off in March. We
expect core CPI inflation to round down to 0.2% m/m (0.24% unrounded) owing to a
slight decline in core goods prices and less price pressure from core services.
Meanwhile, headline CPI should round up to 0.3% m/m (0.25% unrounded). If our
forecast proves correct, it should provide some confidence to the Fed.
From Goldman:
We expect a 0.27% increase in March core CPI (vs. 0.3% consensus), corresponding to a year-over-year rate of 3.70% (vs. 3.7% consensus). We expect a 0.29% increase in March headline CPI (vs. 0.3% consensus), which corresponds to a year-over-year rate of 3.37% (vs. 3.4% consensus).