Chart Industries, Inc. (NYSE:GTLS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript - InvestingChannel

Chart Industries, Inc. (NYSE:GTLS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Chart Industries, Inc. (NYSE:GTLS) Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript May 3, 2024

Chart Industries, Inc. misses on earnings expectations. Reported EPS is $0.2418 EPS, expectations were $1.88. Chart Industries, Inc. isn’t one of the 30 most popular stocks among hedge funds at the end of the third quarter (see the details here).

Operator: Good morning and welcome to Chart Industries, Inc. 2024 First Quarter Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. The company’s release and supplemental presentation were issued earlier this morning. If you have not received the release, you may access it by visiting Chart’s website at www.chartindustries.com. A telephone replay of today’s broadcast will be available approximately two hours following the conclusion of the call until Friday, May 31, 2024. The replay information is contained in the company’s press release. Before we begin, the company would like to remind you that statements made during this call that are not historical, in fact, are forward-looking statements.

Please refer to the information regarding forward-looking statements and risk factors included in the company’s earnings release and latest filings with the SEC. The company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statements. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Ms. Jill Evanko, Chart Industries’ CEO. Thank you. Please go ahead.

Jillian Evanko: Thank you, Ina. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining Joe Brinkman, our CFO and me to walk through our first quarter 2024 results. For all periods referenced, all metrics are pro forma for continuing operations of the combined business of Chart and Howden, unless otherwise noted. Starting on slide five of the supplemental presentation, the first quarter is typically our lowest quarter of the year, and this year is expected to be no different. What is different is that the first quarter of 2024 was stronger than our typical Q1 across the board, resulting in setting first quarter records for orders, backlogs, sales, reported and adjusted gross margin, reported and adjusted operating margin, reported and adjusted EBITDA, and associated EBITDA margin.

To summarize, orders were up 4%, organic sales up 18%, reported EBITDA up 73%, and reported gross margin up 260 basis points. We’ll discuss comparative financial metrics on the next slide, but a few standout items. First quarter sales of $950.7 million grew 17.4% or 18.3%, excluding the foreign exchange headwind in the quarter. Also, Q1 2024 sales were our second highest sales quarter ever in our history, which is rare for a Q1. It also sets the stage for sequential growth in 2024, as we have not yet had a full quarter of Teddy2, our Theodore, Alabama, jumbo cryogenic tank facility, and our Tulsa facility CapEx, that is still in progress. Reported gross margin of 31.8% was an increase, as I mentioned earlier, of 260 basis points compared to Q1 2023.

This was also our second sequential quarter with gross margin at or above 31.8%. And all quarters, since we closed on the Howden acquisition, have been above 30% reported gross margin. This, as well as seeing the P&L benefits from our synergy actions taking hold, drove adjusted operating margin of 18% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 22.3%. Similar to gross margin, this is the second sequential quarter where adjusted EBITDA margin has stepped up to be at or above 22%. And since the acquisition of Howden, each quarter has been at or above 21.5% adjusted EBITDA margin. Strong end market and Chart-specific demand continues, resulting in record backlog of $4.33 billion. Demand is also reflected in our increasing commercial pipeline, our highest ever at over $22 billion, up from approximately $21 billion prior.

We have identified more synergy opportunities, open production at Teddy2. And so, in turn, there’s an increase in our commercial funnel for marine, space, and rail, water treatment traction, and we’re seeing broader content on international LNG projects, to name a few contributors to this increased commercial pipeline. First quarter 2024 orders of $1.12 billion included record repair, service, and leasing segment orders, which increased 10.5% compared to Q1 ’23. We also saw first quarter stronger demand than typical in our European industrial gas end market. We’re seeing that strong start already through April. All of this resulted in a 1.18 book-to-bill, which is expected to continue to be above one through the year. This strength in terms of Q1 versus typical Q1 is also a contributor to us reiterating our full year outlook for 2024.

Slide six shows the first quarter of ’24 versus pro forma first quarter of ’23. I’d point you to the far-right hand column, which is the year-over-year changes in each metric. On the prior slide, I commented about the 18% adjusted operating margin. This is a 620 basis point increase compared to last Q1. Both reported and adjusted EBITDA margin grew more than 550 bps as shown in rows 10 and 12. An adjusted diluted EPS of $1.49 reflects a higher first quarter 2024 tax rate than is anticipated for the full year as we continue to expect full year ETR of approximately 20%. Finally, free cash flow was negative $136 million, which included $47 million of CapEx, $24 million of that related to our Teddy2 facility. This free cash flow was in line with our internal expectations and included specific first quarter cash outflows that are shown on slide seven.

As we shared on our fourth quarter ’23 earnings call, the first quarter always has specific cash outflows that occur once a year and there were other specific cash outflows related to the 2023 divestiture fees and the Teddy2 manufacturing facility CapEx payment. As you can see in rows A through G on the table on slide seven, there were $219 million of specific first quarter cash outflows outside of working capital and normal course CapEx. Approximately $165 million of these are not expected to repeat in the second quarter 2024. On the bottom left-hand side of the slide, you can see that we continue to opportunistically optimize our balance sheet, and we recently completed an amendment to our revolving credit facility with very strong bank support.

This extends our RCF maturity date to 2029 and we received other favorable changes to terms and conditions. We continue to reiterate our financial policy as shown on the bottom right of the slide until we are within our target net leverage ratio range of 2 to 2.5. As I commented, there were about $165 million of specific cash outflows across five items that will not repeat in the second quarter. Turning to slide eight. You can see our outlook for free cash flow in Q2 is approximately $175 million. It’s clear we need to be explicit to align outlooks on free cash flow based on quarterly information and therefore we are providing the next quarter’s outlook and we’ll do the same for the third quarter at the end of the second. Our Q2 cash outlook is driven by the non-repeating Q1 cash outflows as well as by items shown on the lower left-hand side of the slide including sequential improvement in working capital.

We anticipate the receipt of project payments in Q2 of approximately $125 million across our top projects and additional collections obviously beyond those globally. We also expect lower and final sequential CapEx related to Teddy2. We did have $6 million of Q1 CapEx for our Tulsa facility to increase capacity and throughput on the Braves line there and $2 million for our GOFA trailer facility expansion in Germany, all of which have existing backlog that will flow through these locations in the second half of 2024. And finally, we have no second quarter semi-annual cash interest payment. To date, second quarter 2024 cash generation has started strong. Turning to slide nine. A few points on the segment results. Starting with Cryo Tank Solutions or CTS.

First quarter CTS orders of $159 million decreased about 4% when compared to the first quarter of 2023 driven by a large rail car order booked in the first quarter of 2023. The increase in CTS orders sequentially from the fourth quarter of 2023 is what is important to today in our outlook as we see continuing pickup in demand in global industrial gas as well as having completed certain large customer long-term agreement renewals in March and April of 2024. Additionally, the first quarter general industrial orders within CTS were the highest in our history. First quarter CTS sales of $160 million increased 13.6% when compared to the first quarter last year. This is very strong year-over-year growth given that typically CTS grows in low to mid single digits.

Reported gross profit margin of 20.5% is back in its normal range coming off of the 2021-2022 lows from material price cost lags. Next Heat Transfer Systems or HTS. First quarter ’24 HTS orders of $237 million decreased about 30% when compared to the first quarter of ’23 primarily driven by specific large project bookings in the first quarter of ’23 including big LNG. March 31st, HTS backlog was about $1.7 billion and does not include the IPSMR International Big LNG Award from an IOC that we expect to book in early 2025. First quarter ’24 HTS sales of $254 million had associated reported gross margin of 27.6%, a 160 basis point increase compared to the first quarter of ’23 and sales increased about 35% for HTS. Moving to RSL which is a gem of a segment when you look at margins in particular.

First quarter ’24 RSL orders were records at $334 million. Orders increased 11.1% and associated sales of $301 million increased about 15% when compared to the first quarter of ’23. It’s also worth noting that we have had orders and sales growth above 10% consistently each quarter in RSL since we closed on the Howden acquisition. We’re seeing a lot of demand in particular in APAC for upgrades to refineries for environmentally friendly equipment. Reported RSL gross profit margin of 46.7% was another RSL record and gross margin in RSL has been above 43% each quarter since we closed on Howden. And finally, Specialty Product segment. In the first quarter of ’24 Specialty Products orders were $391 million which increased 40.5% compared to the first quarter of ’23 and decreased about 2% when compared to the fourth quarter of ’23.

The sequential decline was primarily driven by a decrease in marine projects as we had a very strong fourth quarter ’23 marine bookings. We expect marine and maritime bookings to increase throughout 2024 as we now have the Teddy2 capacity. We’ll come back to marine and heavy-duty sustainable transport applications in a few slides. Returning to Specialty, in Q1 we had our highest ever order quarter for carbon capture utilization and storage, or CCUS, in our history, driven by increasing activity in larger size projects for us in particular in Earthly Labs. First quarter of ’24 sales of $237 million increased 6.7% compared to last year and sequentially increased just over 10% compared to the fourth quarter of ’23, driven by timing of project revenue and the start of Teddy2 pre-production.

An extensive industrial gas facility with many storage tanks.

Reported gross margin in Specialty was about 25% and this was lower than we expect for the rest of the year due to specific project mix and first of the kind project in the first quarter. We do bring first of the kind projects in as there are multiple volume opportunities ahead as well as aftermarket associated with the new build. On slide 10, we’re showing the historical last 12 months or LTM pro forma trends. A key takeaway from this slide is that despite potential quarterly variances due to customer timing, the trend lines are all positive. I’d also point out that there was no significant drop-off in our order book even when considering $620 million of Big LNG orders in 2022. This is another way that shows the diversity of our end markets and the resilience of our aftermarket business.

We’ve grown sales to $3.7 billion on an LTM basis from $3.3 billion in 2022 and taken our gross profit margin to 31.6% on LTM from 27.8% in 2022 and we feel that this is just the beginning as our demand remains robust. Our backlog and commercial pipeline are both benefiting from key macro tailwinds of which four of the main ones are shown on slide 12. First, starting in row one is global energy access. This is not only access, but security, stability of energy and the fact that the world uses energy in everything we do. We continue to expect natural gas and LNG to be a part of this. Our customers are telling us this. The proof though is in our backlog with a variety of global gas associated orders. Let’s spend a minute on some things happening in the LNG market.

You have the Cedar LNG project moving ahead with Chart content, multiple LNG players buying their own ship fleets and a lot of infrastructure being built globally. Beyond natural gas and LNG, hydrogen continues to have public and private support and we’re seeing this across multiple types of orders ranging from liquefaction to storage to end use, including recently receiving a duplicate of our largest liquid hydrogen storage order in Europe to date. We also have strong visibility to the second quarter in the rest of the year, in particular in our hydrogen pipeline. Moving to row two, as we say in our nexus of clean, clean power, clean water, clean food, and clean industrial are all intertwined. This is the case with the macro driver of clean water scarcity, and it’s getting more and more attention, in particular with the recent U.S. EPA designation of PFAS as hazardous substances.

It’s also important to note that in certain countries, clean water is a major political platform for government officials, and clean water touches clean power, when speaking to green hydrogen as an example. In a couple of slides, we’ll discuss our Chart water offering and the associated commercial opportunity. So moving to the third row, as discussed in item one, there’s growing demand for energy, period. It is in part being driven by artificial intelligence and data centers, which need electrification, energy storage, backup solutions, and cooling. All these applications that are offering very well, inclusive of CCUS, specialty compression, fans, air coolers, just to name a few. We have specific near-term commercial opportunities in these applications for data center heat rejection, power generation for baseload and peak shaving, and energy storage.

Just this week, the U.S. DOE’s H2S Scale Initiative announced that a hydrogen demonstration facility is launched in Texas to provide power to the Texas Advanced Computing Center, or TACC. And please recall that we are one of the partners in H2S Scale. The fourth row on the slide is the need to address existing and build new infrastructure, combined with a focus on decarbonization, especially in heavy-duty transport applications. This is supported, again, by both the public and private sector, including with Biden Administration’s March 25th announcement of $6 million of awarded spend via DOE for demo projects to reduce GHG emissions in heavy industrial applications. The private sector is progressing this as well, with collaborations to study and develop low-emission trucks, trains, ships, and airplanes.

And as one reason, we’re very well-positioned with our new Teddy2 tank facility to serve these larger applications, in particular, in liquid hydrogen. So turning to slide 13, with our Teddy2 facility and total solution offering globally, we’re able to serve much larger heavy-duty transport applications, including aerospace exploration, additional rail, and onboard marine and the associated onshore infrastructure for liquid hydrogen. One such example is our new partnership with Energy Observer, specific to the Energy Observer 2, a liquid hydrogen cargo ship under development. The aim is to build an integrated hydrogen ecosystem, reducing the overall cost of liquid hydrogen and promoting its use in maritime transport. The establishment of a low-carbon maritime energy hub, combined with low-carbon hydrogen production, and the installation of port infrastructures, is essential to achieving these objectives.

And we’ll partner on associated equipment and technology, both with Energy Observer and their other partners. Another example is our recently executed MOU with GasLog LNG services, to study the development of a commercial-scale liquid hydrogen supply chain, leveraging GasLog’s latest development of a liquid hydrogen vessel, and our extensive experience in cryogenics and large-scale liquefaction solutions for the global distribution network and infrastructure. Our commercial pipeline for marine LNG, space exploration, and rail for our Teddy2 facility is over $400 million. Since we officially opened the facility a month ago, we have added an incremental $80 million to the commercial pipeline for this facility of potential opportunities. As you can see on slide 14, we have solutions and products that serve the macro tailwind we discuss the water, treating contaminants, including PFAS, arsenic, biological processes, to name a few.

Currently in our commercial pipeline, we have 65 opportunities for PFAS, specifically. 11 of those are new since the beginning of this year. As we’ve stated numerous times over the past year, there have been many benefits of the Howden addition to our business. One of the top on the list is the expanded aftermarket opportunity, as shown on slide 15. RSL is 32% of our total revenues in the first quarter, and with sales growth of 14%, consistent order growth over 10%, we’re set to have this high margin business become a larger part of our mix in the medium term. I’ll now hand it over to Brinkman to talk about 2024 and our medium term outlook.

Joe Brinkman: Thanks, Jill. On slide 16, to round out the key driver section, we show our main supply chain inputs. Generally, these have normalized from the highs we saw in 2021 and 2022. Carbon, stainless, and aluminum are all relatively stable and each near their lowest — lower points over the past three years. We continue to watch very carefully given the Red Sea situation, yet have not seen meaningful cost changes from it to date. Turning to slide 18, with the foundation of the macro and specific key drivers we just went through, and based on our first quarter 2024 results being in line with our internal expectations, we reiterate our outlook. Slide 19 is an update to a slide we introduced in early November 2023 for considerations when you’re modeling our 2024.

Under positives, we have begun certain production in our Teddy2 facility, so that is tracking well for 2024 revenue based on existing backlog. Additionally, we have approximately 63% of our next 12 months outlook covered in backlog, and we are seeing a trend towards larger project sizes, especially for Howden content. As stated on our Q4 earnings call, we surpassed our year one Howden cost and commercial synergy expectations earlier than originally anticipated. We are well underway on additional year two synergies. In the middle column, it is worth noting that while we are not dependent on the U.S. IRA to achieve our financial targets, we anticipate the 7 hydrogen hubs having potential incremental benefit to our backlog as they are deployed.

When you think about our year and how the quarters play out, there are a few items to consider, including, but not limited to, further synergy realization timing in the back half of 2024, Teddy2 revenue sequentially ramps throughout the year. Specific larger projects that came into backlog in Q1 of 2024 will be later in the year revenue and into 2025. You can see our return on invested capital targets on slide 21. Our medium term outlook for ROIC is mid-teens, coming from a jumping off point of the last three-year average of approximately 8%. We have made significant organic and inorganic investments to position our company for growth and are in the early days of reaping the associated benefits. Howden is accretive to our ROIC and we now have less cyclicality with a shift to a higher portion of our business in aftermarket service and repair.

On slide 22, we again reiterate our medium term financial outlook as we had previously shared in November 2023 and reiterated in January 2024. We have multiple contributors to achieving these, including our full solution mix is broader than just LNG and hydrogen, as you’ve heard today, and we play across the entire value chain globally. We now have a higher mix of aftermarket and services revenue and an incredibly large, diverse and global installed base. Price/cost continues to be a positive driver for us. Volume productivity and other Chart business excellence activities continue. And we have a mid-term target of mid-30s for a gross profit margin on an LTM basis. We are at 31.6%, up nicely from a year ago and well on track to reach our 2026 targets.

And last, but certainly not least, we are benefiting as the industry is moving to a modular approach and IPSMR demand is going international.

Jillian Evanko: Thank you to our entire OneChart global team who delivered the record first quarter while continuing to deliver year two synergies in the safest way possible, with a total recordable incident rate of 0.52 and 70% of our locations around the world having had 12 months or more without a recordable incident. Keep the momentum team safe with stakeholder orientation, strong work ethic, and giving back to our communities in operations. So thank you again to the OneChart global team. Ina, please open it up for Q&A.

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