Chevron Corporation (CVX): Why Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on This Dividend Aristocrat Now? - InvestingChannel

Chevron Corporation (CVX): Why Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on This Dividend Aristocrat Now?

We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Dividend Aristocrats with Over 3% Yield. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) stands against the other dividend stocks with over 3% yield.

When it comes to investing in stocks, high-growth companies often steal the spotlight. However, during uncertain times, dividend stocks—companies that regularly pay out quarterly dividends to shareholders—can serve as safe havens, helping to build wealth regardless of market conditions. Historically, dividends have played a significant role in stock market gains. Since 1930, dividends have contributed about 40% of the S&P 500’s total returns. When it comes to dividend stocks, companies that consistently increase their dividends hold special importance for investors. These companies provide shareholders with a steadily growing income.

One popular dividend strategy to invest in dividend growth stocks is dividend aristocrats, which are the companies that have raised their payouts for 25 consecutive years. Though the dividend aristocrats index is lagging this year, delivering a little over 5% return year-to-date, it has performed well in the long run, especially during market downturns. Phillip Brzenk, S&P’s global head of multi-asset indexes, studied the performance of dividend growth strategies, focusing on times when the market performed negatively. He discovered that since the end of 1989, there have been six years when the broader market experienced negative returns. In each of those years, the Dividend Aristocrats index outperformed the benchmark by an average of 13.28%. Notably, the Dividend Aristocrats even achieved a positive total return in three of those years.

Given the strong returns of dividend growth stocks, numerous companies are keen to enhance their dividends. In the second quarter of 2024, there were 539 dividend increases, a 17.2% rise from the 460 increases in the same quarter of 2023. The total dividend hikes amounted to $20.4 billion for the quarter, significantly up from $9.8 billion in Q2 2023, according to a report by S&P Dow Jones Indices. These dividend increases aren’t just a quick fix to attract investors; it’s supported by strong corporate balance sheets and increased cash flows. According to Janus Henderson, corporate cash flow remained solid across most sectors in 2023, providing ample resources for dividends and share buybacks. Consequently, global dividend growth increased by 5% for the year, following the long-term trend. The firm also gave an optimistic outlook for dividends in 2024, predicting $1.72 trillion in dividends for the year, marking a 3.9% increase on a headline basis, equivalent to a 5% growth rate.

Dividend aristocrat stocks are renowned for their growing income, but that doesn’t mean they lack solid yields. Many dividend aristocrats provide above-average yields along with decades of consistent dividend growth. This combination is particularly advantageous for income investors, as it offers the best of both worlds: robust yields and steady growth. Let’s now take a look at some of the best dividend aristocrat stocks with over 3% yield.

Our Methodology:

For this list, we looked at a group of 67 dividend aristocrat companies, which are known for raising dividends for 25 years or more. From this list, we chose 10 stocks with dividend yields above 3%, as of July 17, and arranged them in order from lowest to highest yield. We’ve also mentioned the hedge fund sentiment for each stock, which was sourced from Insider Monkey’s database of 920 funds as of Q1 2024.

Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).

An aerial view of an oil rig at sea, the sun glinting off its structure.

Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX)

Dividend Yield as of July 17: 4.08%

When it comes to dividend stocks, energy companies are at the forefront, as they are renowned for their generous dividend payments to shareholders. Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) is no exception. The American energy company has never missed a single dividend since 1984 and has raised its payouts for 37 consecutive years. Its quarterly dividend currently comes in at $1.63 per share for a dividend yield of 4.08%, as of July 17. It is among the best dividend aristocrat stocks on our list.

Dividends have long been a favored method of returning capital to shareholders for oil companies. Even when low oil prices affect their cash flow, they frequently incur debt and leverage assets to sustain their payouts. That isn’t the case with Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX). The company is gaining traction with investors thanks to its robust cash flow, which acts as a safety net against fluctuating oil prices. In the first quarter of 2024, the company reported an operating cash flow of $6.8 billion and its free cash flow for the period came in at $2.7 billion. Due to this strong cash generation, the company remained committed to its shareholder return, distributing $6 billion among investors through dividends and share repurchases. This marked the company’s eighth straight quarter of providing over $5 billion in shareholder returns.

According to analysts, Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) is well-positioned to benefit from an anticipated increase in natural gas demand, driven by the growing number of data centers. According to the company’s CEO, Mike Wirth, natural gas demand is expected to exceed expectations due to rising electricity consumption driven by artificial intelligence and data centers. Wirth further mentioned that data centers operate around the clock without interruption. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a reliable baseload supply to meet these continuous demands and expressed his belief that natural gas would play a significant role in meeting future energy needs.

Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway was the largest stakeholder of Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) at the end of Q1 2024, owning roughly 123 million shares. Overall, 62 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held positions in the company, worth collectively over $23.2 billion.

Overall CVX ranks 7th on our list of the best dividend aristocrats to buy. You can visit 10 Best Dividend Aristocrats with Over 3% Yield to see the other dividend aristocrats that are on hedge funds’ radar. While we acknowledge the potential of CVX as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some deeply undervalued dividend stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for a deeply undervalued dividend stock that is more promising than CVX but that trades at less than 7 times its earnings and yields nearly 10%, check out our report about the dirt cheap dividend stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and 10 Best of Breed Stocks to Buy For The Third Quarter of 2024 According to Bank of America.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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