We recently published a list of 7 Best ASX Stocks To Invest In Right Now. In this article, we are going to take a look at where BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) stands against other ASX stocks to invest in right now.
Overview of the Australian Economy
According to a report by the Australian Bureau of Statistics, Australia’s economy is growing at a sluggish pace as GDP for the June quarter increased by just 0.2%, bringing the annual growth rate to 1% for the year to June however, Australia continues to narrowly avoid a recession. According to Katherine Keenan, head of national accounts at the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the annual financial year economic growth was the lowest since 1991-92 excluding the Covid-19 pandemic period.
For the year to July, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 3.5%, from 3.8% in June which signals that inflation may be starting to ease. This reduction was largely attributed to energy rebates introduced by state and federal governments. In response, three of Australia’s big four banks have slashed interest rates on term deposits by as much as 80 basis points, signaling expectations of a significant rate cut in 2025. However, experts warn that inflation for the year to June remains “stubbornly high.” The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has an inflation target of 2%-3%, and economists predict that rate cuts will likely not occur before 2025 due to inflationary pressures. Jim Chalmers, Treasurer of Australia acknowledged the economic stagnation and attributed the slow growth to a combination of global economic uncertainty, and the burden of higher interest rates.
Despite the economic challenges, wages in Australia continue to rise steadily, with a 4.1% increase for the year to June, slightly lower than the 4.2% growth recorded at the end of 2023. Private sector wages grew by 0.7% during the June quarter, down from 0.9% in the March quarter, while public sector wages saw a 0.9% increase, up from 0.6%.
Australian Equities Amid Inflation and Rising Rates
According to Schroders’ head of Australian equity, Martin Conlon, Investor sentiment toward investing in Australia reflects a cautious yet strategically optimistic approach, over the past decade, Australian equities, particularly in technology, growth, and green energy sectors, have enjoyed significant growth driven by speculative investment and aggressive financial leverage due to low borrowing costs. However, with the recent return of inflation and the necessity of higher interest rates, this sentiment has tempered.
However, real economy sectors such as resources, energy, and materials have gained traction due to more favorable investment opportunities. The mining sector, which represents a significant portion of Australia’s economic output, remains particularly attractive. Australia’s iron ore exports have long been a cornerstone of the economy, and global demand remains robust. Some of the largest mining companies in Australia maintain competitive advantages due to their low-cost operations, especially in iron ore production, which continues to generate strong cash flows even as global commodity demand fluctuates. Furthermore, Australia’s reserves of critical minerals like lithium and rare earths, essential for renewable energy technologies, position the country at the forefront of this transformation.
Investors are now prioritizing sectors with reasonable valuation levels and sound fundamentals, particularly those with exposure to the real economy. Resource stocks stand to benefit from global deglobalization trends as Western economies reduce their reliance on Chinese manufacturing. This shift is expected to result in higher costs for goods, further supporting the case for investing in resource-heavy sectors.
Despite the economic slowdown and inflationary pressures, the country continues to narrowly avoid recession. However, Australia’s unique position as a major commodities exporter and its exposure to the energy transition present compelling opportunities.
Our Methodology
For this article, we used the Finviz and Yahoo Finance stock screeners plus online rankings to compile an initial list of the 20 largest companies in Australia by market cap. From that list, we narrowed our choices to the 7 stocks with the most hedge fund holders, as of Q2 of 2024. The list is sorted in ascending order of the number of hedge funds.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
An aerial view of a mining operation in action, with large trucks and yellow diggers.
BHP Group (NYSE:BHP)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors in Q2 2024: 22
BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) is a leader in mining, metals, and petroleum. Its operations span multiple sectors, including iron ore, copper, coal, and oil.
For the year ending June 30, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) hit several production records, including record copper output at the Spence mine and robust iron ore production. Copper production rose by 9% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 51%, while iron ore production reached 259.7 Mt. Additionally, BHP Group’s (NYSE:BHP) potash projects are also progressing well, with Jansen Stage 1 ahead of schedule at 52% completion, and Jansen Stage 2 in its early phase at 2% completion. For 2025, BHP expects a further 4% increase in copper production.
On August 30, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) announced plans to expand its smelter and refinery operations at Olympic Dam in South Australia. BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) aims to boost copper production in South Australia from 322,000 tonnes last year to 500,000 tonnes of refined copper cathode by the early 2030s, with potential growth to 650,000 tonnes by the mid-2030s. Furthermore, BHP Group (NYSE:BHP) has declared an Inferred Mineral Resource at Oak Dam, estimated at 1.34 billion tonnes with a copper grade of 0.66% and a gold grade of 0.33 grams per tonne. This includes a section with 220 million tonnes at 1.96% copper and 0.68 grams per tonne of gold.
The World Bank projects copper prices to rise by 4% next year, and Forbes estimates copper demand will increase by 75% by 2050. The company’s valuation is also appealing, as the stock is currently trading at 10.33 times earnings, a 34.87% discount compared to the sector median of 15.86. Analysts have a consensus Buy rating on the stock, with an average price target of $61.38 which indicates a potential a 13% upside from current levels. As of the second quarter, BHP Group’s (NYSE:BHP) stock is held by 22 hedge funds, with a total stake valued at $1.25 billion. Fisher Asset Management is the largest shareholder in the company and owns shares worth $1.21 billion as of June 30.
Overall BHP ranks 2nd on our list of best ASX stocks to invest in right now. While we acknowledge the potential of BHP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than BHP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.