Analyst Says Adobe’s (NASDAQ:ADBE) AI Monetization Will Take Time - InvestingChannel

Analyst Says Adobe’s (NASDAQ:ADBE) AI Monetization Will Take Time

We recently published a list of Top 10 Buzzing AI Stocks NowSince Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) ranks 6th on the list, it deserves a deeper look.

Following the aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the market roared to new highs but quickly lost enthusiasm as investors look for clues on what might be ailing the economy that pushed the Fed to go more dovish than expected. However, others think the bull market is going to continue.

BMO Capital’s Brian Belsk has raised the S&P 500 target for 2024 to 6,100 from 5,600. Talking to CNBC in a latest program, Belsk said the “resiliency” of this bull market is “undoubted.”

The analyst said that the stock market is going higher through the end of this year.

“We do believe that the Fed is doing a great job. We believe the Fed that we are not hitting into a recession. We believe the Fed that we are heading into more of a soft landing,” the analyst said.

Belsk thinks we are in the “1995-1996 environment” where we can “handle” the 24x earnings multiple.

The analyst added that the Mag. 7 stocks underperformed the market in the third quarter and yet the broader market grew, which shows the market rally is broad.

For this article we chose 10 AI stocks trending on the back of latest news, earnings and analyst ratings. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Is Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) Buzzing AI Stock Now? Photo by Jakob Owens on Unsplash

Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 107

S&P Global’s Andrew Chang recently said while talking to Schwab Network that Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) numbers were “great” from the credit perspective but the broader underperformance of the software sector and high expectations weighed on the stock.

“It’s about investors’ understanding about timing of software benefits from AI. That timing is gonna be a while. It’s gonna take time to monetize.”

Chang said that currently the spending is concentrated on the infrastructure layer of AI, but it will shift to the application and software side.

The analyst said that Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) is integrating AI with its products which it can sell at a higher average selling price (ASP) which would increase its numbers.

Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) expects fourth-quarter revenue between $5.5 billion and $5.55 billion, with a midpoint of $5.525 billion, falling short of the $5.6 billion consensus estimate. Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) also forecasts earnings per share (EPS) ranging from $4.63 to $4.68, with the midpoint slightly below the $4.67 estimate.

Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) has become a complex case for analysts who are still gauging whether Adobe would be a net beneficiary of the AI boom or a loser. On the one hand, Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) is under threat with tons of AI tools good enough to make beginner-level designs, posts and videos for individuals or companies with low or no marketing budget. But on the other hand, the company is launching several AI-powered tools and integrating generative AI tools in its products that could boost its revenue in the future.

Daniel Newman, CEO of Futurum Group, said in a program on CNBC that the latest earnings show the effects of a macro slowdown but Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) could benefit if companies decide to use the company’s AI tools to cut its reliance on human workers.

Polen Global Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:

“With Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE), in some ways, we see it as a microcosm of the market’s “shoot first, ask questions later” approach to categorizing AI winners and losers. In the early part of last year, Adobe came under pressure with a perception that generative AI (GenAI) would represent a material headwind to their suite of creative offerings. In short order, the company introduced its GenAI offering, Firefly, which shifted the narrative to Adobe as a beneficiary with a real opportunity to monetize GenAI in the near term. Earlier this year, that narrative was again challenged as the company reported a slight slowdown in revenue growth. Results in the most recent quarter were robust as the company raised its full-year forecast across a number of key metrics and showcased better-than-expected results.”

Overall, Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE) ranks 6th on Insider Monkey’s list titled Top 10 Buzzing AI Stocks Now. While we acknowledge the potential of Adobe Inc (NASDAQ:ADBE), our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than ADBE but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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