Is Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Bull Case Still Intact After ‘Uneventful’ AI Event? - InvestingChannel

Is Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Bull Case Still Intact After ‘Uneventful’ AI Event?

We recently published a list of Top 10 Trending AI Stocks to Watch. Since Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) ranks 4th on the list, it deserves a deeper look.

Wall Street continues to gain momentum amid the latest earnings season and analysts are wondering whether we are still up for soft landing. Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz chief economic advisor, talked about the possibility of a soft landing vs no landing during a program on CNBC. When asked what would it take for the market to have a no-landing scenario, the analyst said:

“I think we need the productivity enhancers from A.I., from life sciences to come earlier, we need to continue to have positive shocks to our labor force. And if we get those two things, you can get the bigger but not hotter economy which actually would be perfect for almost everything you can think of, from households to companies to financial markets.”

The analyst does not rule out the possibility of a recession, however.

“My probability of a soft landing is 55%, and a recession is 30%. A soft landing is the most likely scenario, but it’s not dominant. Why isn’t it dominant? Because we have weakness in the household sector, particularly on the lower-income side, and the Fed has been unpredictable. Just think, Morgan—at the end of July, the Fed didn’t cut rates because everything seemed fine. By the next meeting in mid-September, it cut 50 basis points. And now it’s talking about cautious cuts. So, the Fed needs to be careful.”

For this article we picked 10 trending AI stocks based on latest news. With each company we have mentioned its hedge fund sentiment. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Is Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) Bull Case Still Intact After ‘Uneventful’ AI Event?

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 108

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) shares recently fell after its latest event.

One of the reasons why the stock fell was that the company did not update its $4.5 billion AI revenue forecast or its outlook through 2025, leaving investors disappointed. Analysts are now looking to Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)’s Q3 earnings release, where they expect clearer guidance and more confidence in the company’s projections.

At the event, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) showcased several new products, including the Turin EPYC data center CPUs and the Instinct MI325x AI accelerator. The company also introduced the Ryzen AI PRO 300 Series, the first enterprise laptops integrated with Microsoft’s Copilot.

Additionally, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) reaffirmed its two-year AI chip development roadmap, with the MI325x slated for 2024, the MI350 expected in late 2025, and the MI400 set for 2026. Dr. Su highlighted that the data center AI accelerator market is forecasted to grow from $45 billion in 2023 to $500 billion by 2028.

While Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) increased its total addressable market projection through 2028, investors are eager to see what this means for the company’s near-term performance. Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) claimed the MI325x outperforms Nvidia’s H200 HGX in several areas. However, with Nvidia’s upcoming Blackwell GPUs on the horizon, it remains to be seen how AMD’s products will stack up. Both companies plan to offer annual performance and memory upgrades for generative AI, with Nvidia also shortening its product release cycle.

However, Citi analysts reaffirmed their Buy rating and $210 price target for AMD following the event, noting Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)’s expanded total addressable market. However, they cautioned that margins could take a hit in the short term due to the MI300. Still, they highlighted AMD’s advantages over Nvidia, such as increased memory, lower prices, and an open ecosystem.

Jefferies analyst Blayne Curtis also maintained his Buy rating, though he pointed out the event focused more on product launches than providing detailed roadmaps. The key question remains how much of the $500 billion opportunity Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) will capture.

Oppenheimer analysts were less enthusiastic, describing the event as “largely uneventful” and said Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD)’s management reiterated familiar CPU and GPU roadmaps. While AMD has generated $4 billion in AI revenue over the last year through its MI Instinct products, the firm’s performance continues to fall short of expectations, leading them to retain their Perform rating.

Columbia Threadneedle Global Technology Growth Strategy stated the following regarding Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) in its Q2 2024 investor letter:

“Shares of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) lagged the market after the company reported earnings results that, while generally strong, left the market wanting more. The company reported AI revenue of ~$600 million and increased its forward-looking outlook for AI revenue growth, but shares took a breather, as results missed elevated expectations after the stock’s strong performance. Despite the stock’s underperformance during the quarter, the company’s AI story remains very much intact. The growth outlook for the company is supported by better cloud demand, enterprise recovery and continued share gains ahead of the company’s new AI product launch.”

Overall, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) ranks 4th on Insider Monkey’s list titled Top 10 Trending AI Stocks to Watch. While we acknowledge the potential of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD), our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AMD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: Analyst Sees a New $25 Billion “Opportunity” for NVIDIA and Jim Cramer is Recommending These Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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