We recently published a list of 10 AI Stocks to Watch for the Rest of 2024. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) stands against other AI stocks to watch for the rest of 2024.
Talking about the latest market situation during a program on CNBC, Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI senior managing director, said that despite the ups and downs that have happened since the pandemic, the US remains an economy that is “envy of the world.” The analyst urged investors to pile into stocks that have historically performed well after the Fed started cutting rates and hinted at the expected “turbulence” related to US elections.
“We love what we call the Fed rate cut playbook. You go back to 1970, you look at all the rate cutting cycles, there’s a very pronounced outperformance in the year after the Fed starts cutting from info tech, surprise surprise. Small caps, which might be a bit counterintuitive considering how much they took it on the chin today, but also, barbelled by the more defensive sectors, consumer staples and health care. So, to us, that’s sort of the sensible way that will help you ride out if you get some turbulence, which, obvious, if there’s a contested outcome, you’re likely going to get some turbulence.”
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Pointing to market volatility, Emanuel said that the “wall of worry” is still strong.
“The wall of worry is still very, very intact. And if you think about it, yeah, the VIX is low compared to maybe longer run history, but actually, if you think about the inertia of the markets the last several weeks, the VIX is high, and it should be, in front of probably one of the biggest unknowns we’ve been facing, certainly in the last four years, if not longer.”
For this article we picked 10 AI stocks trending based on latest news. With each company we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A wide view of an Apple store, showing the range of products the company offers.
Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 184
Talking about the latest report by Counterpoint pointing to strong Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) iPhone 16 sales in China, Jim Cramer said on CNBC:
“According to an outfit called Counterpoint, which is a Bloomberg — provided to Bloomberg, sales are up 25%. This is completely counter to every single report we got. This sounds much more authoritative. I believe it. I think the stock is going to blow through a lot of levels here. I don’t understand why people didn’t get that what happens in China is that the stimulus is impacting some areas, not others.”
Almost every bullish case on Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) was built around this assumption: millions of people would rush to upgrade their iPhone because of AI features. But the latest numbers for iPhone 16 do not show much enthusiasm for the new device.
Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) has been seeing a long-term decline in mobile carrier upgrade rates, especially postpaid, for several years. This suggests that people are holding onto their devices longer, likely due to economic factors, satisfaction with current technology, or a lack of exciting new features in recent models. This trend isn’t great for Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL). Can Apple Intelligence break this trend? We’ll find out soon.
However, the assumption that we will see a huge upgrade cycle of iPhone just because of AI is big and comes with a lot of risks. Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) trades at a forward PE multiple of around 35x, well above its 5-year average of nearly 27x. Its expected EPS forward long-term growth rate of 10.39% does not justify its valuation, especially with the iPhone upgrade cycle assumption. Adjusting for this growth results in a forward PEG ratio of 3.33, significantly higher than its 5-year average of 2.38.
Vltava Fund stated the following regarding Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“You probably have not missed the news that Warren Buffett has already sold half the stock from his largest public markets investment, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL). It was a phenomenal investment for Berkshire. Over the course of seven years or so, it brought a profit of well over USD 100 billion. Apple comprised a very large position within Berkshire’s public portfolio, and this was the reason we avoided Apple stock outright during that time. We considered our exposure to Apple through our holdings of Berkshire stock to be sufficient, and we ended up making a lot of money on it. There has been a great deal of speculation in the market about what Buffett’s sale of Apple signals regarding his view of the stock market. I think the reason for the sale is much simpler. Buffett probably considers Apple stock so expensive that he prefers to cash in at 20% less (after all, Berkshire must pay tax on its profits). He started selling in the first quarter of the year. When I was in Omaha for the general meeting in May, Buffett said he was still selling, and I expect he continued to do so in the third quarter. I have to say that, as a Berkshire shareholder, I am happy about the Apple sale. I think Berkshire’s management will find a better use for this money, as they always have in the past. It is quite likely that they already have a very specific idea about this. If that takes two or three years, it does not matter at all. This is not a race and, in the meantime, the risk of holding Berkshire Hathaway stock itself has been greatly reduced.”
Overall, AAPL ranks 2nd on our list of AI stocks to watch for the rest of 2024. While we acknowledge the potential of AAPL, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than AAPL but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.