We recently compiled a list of the 10 Worst-Performing Growth Stocks in 2024. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) stands against the other Worst-Performing Growth Stock in 2024.
Economic Growth and Market Resilience
Economists anticipate modest US economic growth in the upcoming quarters, and some continue to caution that a mild recession could occur. If high interest rates have a lagging negative effect on American consumers, it might be challenging for investors to locate reliable growth stocks to purchase.
Nevertheless, analysts at UBS are confident that the upward trajectory in the equity market is poised to continue amid the uncertainties regarding the US election and soaring geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The strategists led by Jonathan Golub have already raised their S&P 500 target to 6,400 from 6000 on the belief that the US economy will remain resilient and supportive of the equity markets.
READ ALSO: 10 Most Promising Future Stocks According to Analysts and 10 Most Promising Growth Stocks According to Hedge Funds.
The Swiss bank expects the interest rate cuts by the Fed to be supportive of the economy, therefore fueling a 3.7% nominal growth in 2025. Likewise, the rate cuts should lower interest expense on borrowed capital and, in return, the default risk, which should add to earnings per share and valuations
“Valuations typically expand when the Fed cuts in non-recessionary environments,” the strategist said on October 15 in an interview with CNBC. “Despite elevated valuations, we expect P/Es to rise [half a] multiple point.” Golub also noted that a “sharp decline in Fed Funds will likely increase profit margins by 20 [basis points] via lower interest expense.”
Growth Stocks and Investment Strategies
Since the start of 2023, growth stocks have beaten value stocks, and investors expect this trend to continue as the Fed eases monetary policy to steer the economy into a soft landing. Over the past few years, the bull market has affected stocks in various industries differently. Some have rallied, generating significant returns, while others have lagged their core business and earnings, having come under pressure.
The best growth stocks can beat the stock market and give investors sizable returns regardless of the prevailing economic conditions. That has been the case as some have posted robust revenue growth higher than that of most of their peers, and the catalysts indicate that the growth may continue.
Some of the growth stocks that have exploded in value have received a lift from the economy, remaining resilient, while others have benefited from the artificial intelligence frenzy. Even as investors eye opportunities around AI plays, Morning Star’s chief market strategist Dave Sekera, believes it might be time to reconsider that investment strategy.
“In our 3Q 2024 Stock Market Outlook, we reviewed why we thought the AI trade had run its course and investors should pare down positions in growth stocks and reinvest those proceeds into value stocks. As detailed in our August 2024 Outlook, it appears that the great rotation into value stocks began in July—and still has further room to run. According to our valuations, on both an absolute as well as a relative basis, value stocks remain the most attractive category by style,” said Sekera.
Nevertheless, some growth stocks have fallen behind after a few successful years. The stocks are down year to date, having felt the full brunt of high interest rates and inflation. Some have underperformed as investors question their long-term prospects due to soaring competition in their respective sectors. While other growth stocks’ core business has come under pressure amid the proliferation of advanced technology that is eating into their respective core fields
To determine which stocks are the best to purchase right now, investors must distinguish between these assets. In addition to providing a solid foundation, this list of growth stocks may enable you to outperform the market.
Our Methodology
To compile our list of the worst-performing growth stocks in 2024, we started by gathering stocks from various growth stock ETFs. We filtered these stocks based on their share price drops, creating a list of twenty companies. Finally, we ranked these companies in ascending order according to their share price drops year to date.
At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN)
Year to Date Gain as of October 28: -61.11%
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 34
Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) is a software infrastructure company that offers cloud software for contact centers. While the company was expected to outperform amid the digital revolution and the Internet of Things, that has not been the case. The stock is down by about 61.11% for the year, emerging as one of the worst-performing growth stocks.
The company has come under immense pressure on growing concerns that artificial intelligence applications will reduce the staffing of contact centers, therefore triggering a significant reduction in Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN)’s market share and revenue streams. Consequently, Investors have been pushing the stock lower in the aftermath of management cutting top-line guidance by -3.8%. The cut implies management expects revenue to grow by 11.5% in 2024, down from 17% growth in 2023.
Amid the growth concerns, investment firm Anson Funds Management has amassed a significant stake in the call center software company and started pushing for a sale. The investment firm wants the company to consider a sale as one of the ways of unlocking value, coming on the heels of Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) pushing back on a deal to be acquired by Zoom Video.
Nevertheless, Five9 has also embarked on a cost-cutting drive with plans to cut its global workforce by 7% as it seeks to increase shareholder value. The layoffs are part of the company’s plans to drive profitable growth and support a long-term outlook. Consequently, it has revised its earnings per share guidance upwards by 4.6%.
In its Q2 2023 investor letter, Brown Capital Management Mid Company Fund provided the following insight regarding Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN):
“Five9, Inc. (NASDAQ:FIVN) is a leader in cloud-based contact-center software, which serves as the routing engine to connect callers to agents. With the growth of e-commerce, consumers are making fewer in-person visits to stores but contacting companies more frequently, driving the need for world-class contact-center software solutions like Five9’s. It has been a tough couple of years for Five9’s stock and this quarter provided no relief. Competitive concerns, questions about AI’s long-term impact on the business and deteriorating macroeconomic conditions have all cast clouds over the company’s stock. Five9’s consumer segment, one of its largest divisions, has really struggled of late as clients hire fewer call-center agents, pressuring Five9’s seat-based revenue model. Total revenue growth decelerated to 13% year-over-year in the most recent quarter, down from 28% and 17% in 2022 and 2023, respectively. Moreover, management guided to 16% for the full year 2024, which some consider optimistic given the weak start to the year. These worsening sales trends further weighed on shares during the quarter.
Looking through the current industry doldrums, we see a bright future for Five9. The company inked its largest deal ever during the quarter, which will generate more than $50 million in annual revenue once fully rolled out. We believe this is an important signal of Five9’s long-term potential. The company is attacking a $60 billion market opportunity, is winning new business at industry-leading rates and is gaining share from legacy incumbents stuck with antiquated technology. We continue to assess the potential threat of AI, but so far it has provided an uplift to company results. The company’s AI product is very popular with large enterprises as it assists agents with customer interactions and can sometimes be used to fully automate interactions. Far from shrinking the number of industry seats, as some fear, management said revenue per seat doubles when customers adopt their AI applications. We expect sales growth to pick up markedly in the coming years, which should result in much stronger stock performance.”
Overall, FIVN ranks 1st on our list of 10 Worst-Performing Growth Stocks in 2024. While we acknowledge the potential of FIVN as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than FIVN, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.