We recently compiled a list of the 8 Best European Stocks To Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT) stands against the other European stocks according to hedge funds.
In a move that was largely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced on October 17, to cut interest rates by a quarter point, bringing the deposit rate down to 3.25%. This marks the first consecutive rate cut since 2011 and is a clear indication of a global cutting cycle.
The ECB’s decision is seen as a response to the current economic climate, in which inflation is expected to rise again before eventually declining to target levels. While the headline inflation rate is currently below target, the core rate is higher. The ECB has also stated that it is not committing to a particular rate path, suggesting that future decisions will be made on a case-by-case basis. The rate cut is also part of a broader effort to reduce the ECB’s balance sheet and scale back its pandemic emergency programs. This move is seen as a sign that the ECB is confident in the European economy’s ability to withstand the withdrawal of stimulus measures.
European Equities Show Resilience Despite Economic Slowdown
According to a report by Lazard Asset Management, the European economy is showing signs of stalling, but the equity market remains resilient. Despite the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting interest rates and indicating a “declining path,” this could serve as a tailwind for European equity prices over the near term.
The report notes that the ECB’s rate cuts, combined with the Federal Reserve’s cut in US interest rates, could provide a supportive environment for European equities.
European equities have remained resilient despite the economic slowdown, avoiding any significant declines. This is unusual, as typically, stock markets perform poorly when faced with flagging economic activity and interest rate cuts. However, the ECB’s rate cuts have not been the only unusual aspect of the current market environment.
The report suggests that the falling cost of capital could provide support for certain cyclical parts of the market, such as chemicals and commodity producers, where valuations have become overly discounted. Additionally, the report notes that companies are engaging in more shareholder-friendly behavior, including strategic spin-offs, share buybacks, and healthy dividend payments.
Norges Bank Investment Management on Market Trends and Central Bank Policy
In an interview with CNBC on October 23, Trond Grande, Deputy CEO of Norges Bank Investment Management, shared his insights on the current market trends and the potential impact of the central bank’s monetary policy decisions on the portfolio.
Grande noted that the past quarter has been quite eventful, with significant volatility in July and August, followed by a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September.
When asked about the potential impact of further rate cuts by central banks, including the Fed, the European Central Bank, and the Bank of England, Grande stated that it depends on how much of this is already priced into the market. He believes that with inflation coming down and unemployment not rising dramatically, it’s likely that central banks are heading for a soft landing. As a result, further rate cuts shouldn’t be a big surprise to the market, and therefore, shouldn’t have a significant impact on the portfolio.
Grande was also asked about his views on the European banking sector, particularly in light of potential mergers and acquisitions. While the European Central Bank’s rate cuts may seem counterintuitive, Grande believes that a flattening yield curve and potentially even a steepening yield curve could be a big tailwind for financials and banks in general. This could be a bullish sign for European banks, despite the ECB’s rate cuts.
The conversation also touched on the tech sector, which has had a phenomenal ride in recent times, driven in part by the hype around AI. Grande cautioned that while these companies are large and have robust earnings, they’re also priced for further growth. To defend their current pricing levels, they need to show economic growth, sales growth, and increasing margins. Grande advised investors to be careful and consider the potential risks in this sector.
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the European market’s resilience and potential for growth make it an exciting space to watch.
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Our Methodology
To compile our list of the 8 best European stocks to buy according to hedge funds, we used the Finviz and Yahoo stock screeners to find the 25 largest European companies. We then narrowed our choices to 8 stocks according to their hedge fund sentiment, which was taken from our database of 912 elite hedge funds as of Q2 of 2024. The list is sorted in ascending order of hedge fund sentiment, as of the second quarter.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here)
Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT)
Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 88
Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT) is a Swedish audio streaming and media services provider, known for its music streaming platform that offers millions of songs and podcasts. The company has revolutionized the music industry with its subscription-based model and personalized playlists.
Spotify Technology S.A.’s (NYSE:SPOT) growth is driven by increased subscriber revenue and AI integration, enhancing user engagement and content discovery. The company’s AI models are expanding their reach and providing users with more content selection, which is expected to accelerate growth. Spotify Technology S.A.’s (NYSE:SPOT) new feature, AI Playlist, allows Spotify Premium users to prompt a chatbot to search by feelings and types of music or life events that they want their music to represent.
Spotify Technology S.A.’s (NYSE:SPOT) AI integration is supporting the company in several ways. Firstly, it is increasing user engagement and time on the platform, which is directly correlated with a consumer’s propensity to spend more on a subscription. Secondly, AI is helping the company to better understand each consumer’s taste in music, and cater to their preferences which is leading to more happy customers, more ads, and more subscriptions. Spotify Technology S.A.’s (NYSE:SPOT) ability to cater to each individual’s song interests, and provide users with more content selection, is expected to accelerate growth and drive revenue.
Overall, SPOT ranks 2nd on our list of the best European stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of SPOT as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SPOT but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.