We recently published a list of 12 Cheap Chinese Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds. In this article, we are going to take a look at where PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) stands against the other cheap Chinese stocks to buy.
Trump’s Back and China’s Stimulus Lags
Trump is back as the President of the United States and China’s stimulus plans have let down investors, which has created more economic uncertainty regarding China. China is trying to fix its economy and Trump’s comeback to the White House means steep tariffs for Chinese-made goods. In his first term, President-elect Donald Trump imposed tariffs up to 25% on Chinese goods, initiating a trade war between two global giants. Trump’s second stint in the office is expected to imply tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese-made goods.
On the other hand, China’s stimulus of $1.5 trillion or nearly 10 billion yuan to back its economy doesn’t seem to appeal the investors. China’s stimulus has come at a time when the economy is struggling badly and there are potential tariff threats from the new U.S. administration. In addition to that, overseas companies are drawing their money out of China as the growth outlook seems gloomier. In the first nine months of 2024, foreign direct investment (FDI) slid nearly $13 billion. According to China’s Administration of Foreign Exchange, the FDI outflows exceeded $8.1 billion in Q3, potentially leading to a net FDI outflow for the first time since 1990. This shows that investors are still pessimistic regarding China’s economic reforms aimed at stabilizing growth.
READ ALSO: Jim Cramer’s Latest Lightning Round: 11 Stocks to Watch and Jim Cramer on AMD and Other Stocks.
Other Problems with the Chinese Economy
The consumer price inflation (CPI) in October eased to 0.3% year-over-year compared to an expected 0.4%, while the producer price index (PPI) dropped by 2.9% year-over-year in October, slightly widening from the 2.8% decline observed in September 2024. Following the U.S. elections and China’s lower-than-expected inflation outcome, UBS has lowered China’s 2025 GDP growth estimate to 4% from the 4.5% it made in October. The Swiss Bank anticipates the GDP growth for 2026 to be also considerably lower.
What Could Happen in the Short-Term and the Long-term?
With Trump’s victory and the news regarding sparking expectations of steep tariffs, U.S. importers are expected to rush to front-load goods from China before the Presidential inauguration in January 2025. This could potentially lead to cost increases and deliver a surprising push to Chinese exports.
In the long run, analysts expect Trump’s tariff policy’s impact on the Chinese economy would be modest. However, the additional tariffs could hit exports and lead to a higher fiscal deficit or currency depreciation for China. Economists at Capital Economics project that the direct impact of large U.S. tariffs on China would be less than 0.5% of its GDP. The reason for this can be exporters finding alternative routes via other countries and also receiving support from depreciation of the yuan.
The Hang Seng Index has plunged more than 4% over the last five days, as of November 15, while the CSI 300 index has plummeted by nearly 2.50% in the last five days and is up by almost 3% in the last month. We can see the mixed reaction of the market considering the recent events.
With that, let’s take a look at PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) and what’s up with the Chinese stock.
Photo by CardMapr.nl on Unsplash
Our Methodology
To find the 10 Cheap Chinese Stocks to Buy According to Hedge Funds, first, we used stock screeners and shortlisted Chinese stocks listed on US exchanges with a market capitalization of more than $1 billion and a forward P/E ratio of less than 15, as of November 15. We narrowed down our selection to 10 stocks that were the most widely held by institutional investors and ranked them in ascending order of the number of hedge funds that have stakes in them, as of Q2 of 2024.
Why do we care about what hedge funds do? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 86
Forward P/E Ratio: 8.46
PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) is a holding company with a portfolio of businesses. Pinduoduo and Temu are two of the most famous e-commerce brands of PDD. The company has built a network of sourcing, logistics, and fulfillment capabilities that support its underlying businesses.
The company is working with high-quality merchants worldwide to improve its customized fulfillment solutions and enhance its supply chain, as the competition in the e-commerce market is getting intense. PDD Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:PDD) is currently operating businesses in over 79 markets worldwide. As PDD senses growth opportunities in the sector, it is penetrating new markets. Temu is expanding rapidly in Europe and North America and has the potential to capture a large portion of the online global retail market. PDD focuses on small and medium businesses, which allows it to make cheap product listings on its platforms and attract a higher volume of consumers.
In Q2 2024, the company reached over 167 million monthly active customers, of which 50 million are based in the U.S. The company’s revenue soared over 89% year-over-year to $13.63 billion in Q2 2024. Revenues from the marketing services and others were up 29% from a year ago, while revenues from transaction services were up 234%.
Overall, PDD ranks 2nd on our list of cheap Chinese stocks to buy according to hedge funds. While we acknowledge the potential of PDD as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than PDD but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock.
Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.