Here’s Appalaches Capital’s Investment Thesis For CSX Corporation (CSX) - InvestingChannel

Here’s Appalaches Capital’s Investment Thesis For CSX Corporation (CSX)

Appalaches Capital, an investment management firm, released its third-quarter 2024, investor letter. A copy of the letter can be downloaded here. Appalaches Core LO ended the quarter with a 3.0% gain after all fees and expenses compared to the S&P 500’s return of 5.9%, the equal-weighted S&P 500’s return of 9.6%, and the SOFR Index return of 1.4%. The fund has achieved a net return of 7.1%, year-to-date. During the quarter, the firm made several changes to the portfolio, with about two-thirds now allocated to risk assets, aligning better with a normalized allocation, and planning to invest idle cash as opportunities arise in companies with strong competitive positions. The firm aims to buy shares at a discount to their intrinsic value, but this has been more challenging over the past year. In addition, please check the fund’s top five holdings to know its best picks in 2024.

Appalaches Capital highlighted stocks like CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX), in the third quarter 2024 investor letter. CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) is a company that offers rail-based freight transportation services. The one-month return of CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX) was 8.89%, and its shares gained 7.92% of their value over the last 52 weeks. On November 29, 2024, CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  stock closed at $36.55 per share with a market capitalization of $70.059 billion.

Appalaches Capital stated the following regarding CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  in its Q3 2024 investor letter:

“During the quarter, we established core positions in two railroads: Canadian National Railway Company (CNI) and CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX). The investment thesis is simple. Domestic railroads have not seen volume growth over the last 20 years despite being the cheapest, cleanest, and safest form of freight transportation.4 The lack of volume growth and related share losses to trucking is due to the poor reliability of the networks. However, there is strong evidence to believe that this may not be the case going forward. It seems that investors are overweighting historical characteristics of the industry and not giving credit to recent and sustainable improvements in service metrics. If the rails are able to show any sign of sustained volume growth, our investment should perform very well.

The Canadian railroads have more or less operated at full capacity over the last two decades, while the U.S. networks have not. Why is that? There are a few reasons for the anemic volume growth domestically, but only one of which is not shared by the Canadian railroads: service. In 2017, had you shipped goods by rail in Canada, the odds that your shipment would arrive on time, or the “trip plan compliance” rate, was around 90% or higher. In the U.S., these levels were closer to 50%.5 Maybe you have a different opinion, but I am not particularly excited about using a shipping service that only has a coin flip’s chance of arriving on time, even if it may be more economical…” (Click here to read the full text)

A freight train moving through a rural landscape, its engine and numerous rail cars carrying the company’s cargo.

CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  is not on our list of 31 Most Popular Stocks Among Hedge Funds. As per our database, 51 hedge fund portfolios held CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  at the end of the third quarter which was 5 in the previous quarter. CSX Corporation’s (NASDAQ:CSX) total revenue reached over $3.6 billion in the quarter, up 1% from Q3 2023. While we acknowledge the potential of CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is as promising as NVIDIA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

In another article, we discussed CSX Corporation (NASDAQ:CSX)  and shared ClearBridge Global Infrastructure Value Strategy’s views on the company in the previous quarter. In addition, please check out our hedge fund investor letters Q3 2024 page for more investor letters from hedge funds and other leading investors.

READ NEXT: Michael Burry Is Selling These Stocks and A New Dawn Is Coming to US Stocks.

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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