We recently compiled a list of the 16 Best Income Stocks To Buy According to Analysts. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) stands against the other income stocks.
When it comes to income investing, dividend stocks are often the first choice for investors. These stocks offer regular payouts to shareholders, which are seen as a way to steadily increase income over time. This approach is backed by data. A report from Hartford Funds revealed that dividends have accounted for 39% of total returns on average since the 1940s. The report also highlighted that stocks with high dividend payouts have not only outperformed other dividend-paying stocks but have done so with lower volatility.
Income factor plays a crucial role in investing, as it can significantly boost overall returns, helping investors achieve the portfolio growth needed to meet their financial objectives. A study by Eagle Investment Management highlighted the income potential of dividend-paying stocks. The study compared the returns of a hypothetical $1,000,000 investment made on December 31, 2012, in the Dividend Aristocrats Index—composed of companies that have consistently raised their dividends for 25 years—with the broader market, assuming dividends were reinvested. According to the report, by 2022, the $1,000,000 investment in Dividend Aristocrats would have generated $93,212 in income, compared to just $55,726 from the market. This stark difference emphasized the greater income potential of dividend aristocrats over the broader market. Although this is a historical example, it underscores the importance of not only prioritizing dividends but also focusing on their growth to enhance a portfolio’s income stream over time.
Also read: 12 Best REIT Dividend Stocks To Buy for 2024
Dividend investing is not a quick path to success; it requires patience and a long-term approach. Over time, high-yielding dividend stocks tend to outperform those that don’t pay dividends. According to the French Data Library, while non-dividend-payers may lead the market in certain years, they generally fall short in the long run. Dividend-payers, especially those with higher yields, have consistently outperformed non-payers and even the broader market. The report, which examined returns from 1927 to 2023, found that non-dividend-payers delivered an annualized return of 8.7%, while high-yield stocks returned 10.9%. In comparison, the overall market returned 9.7% during the same period.
The report outlined several reasons why dividend-paying stocks tend to outperform others. According to the report, investing in dividend-payers helps filter out the most speculative stocks, as these companies are usually well-established and confident in their cash flow, allowing them to return cash to shareholders. Moreover, dividend-payers are more commonly found in the value segment of the market, and stocks with lower prices and expectations have historically performed well. Dividend payers often build a loyal shareholder base, as investors relying on income from their holdings are less likely to sell due to negative news. Lastly, committing to paying dividends fosters discipline within companies. Executives, tempted by the prospect of using excess cash for acquisitions or speculative projects, are instead compelled to act cautiously and prioritize maintaining dividend payouts. For this reason, investors tend to focus on companies with a proven history of strong dividend growth and high yields. In this article, we will further take a look at some of the best income stocks to buy according to analysts.
Our Methodology:
To compile this article, we screened for stocks known for their consistent dividend track records and sustained shareholder payouts over an extended period. This group reflects stability and long-term performance in dividend payouts. From this list, we further refined our selection criteria by identifying stocks with a projected upside potential of over 10% based on analyst price targets. The stocks are ranked according to their upside potential, as of December 13. We also considered hedge fund sentiment around each stock in Insider Monkey’s database, as of the third quarter of 2024.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
An intermodal container train winding through a rural landscape.
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP)
Upside Potential as of December 13: 10.99%
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) is a Nebraska-based transportation company that operates railroads, connecting 23 states. Railroads offer an exceptionally efficient method for transporting goods over land, and Union Pacific plays a key role in moving a variety of bulk commodities. This diversified revenue base provides some balance to the company’s income, but its performance remains tied to economic cycles. When the economy is strong, demand for products like agricultural goods, industrial materials, and energy rises, boosting the need for the company’s services. Conversely, during economic slowdowns, demand for these goods typically declines. Despite this cyclical nature, railroads generally maintain high operating margins regardless of economic conditions.
In the third quarter of 2024, Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) reported revenue of $6.01 billion, which showed a 1% growth from the same period last year. Freight revenue, excluding fuel surcharge income, experienced a 5% increase, driven by a 6% rise in revenue carloads. The company’s operating income reached $2.4 billion, reflecting an 11% growth.
Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP) also demonstrated a strong cash position. In the first nine months of the year, the company reported an operating cash flow of $6.7 billion, up from $5.9 billion in the prior year period. Its free cash flow for the period also jumped to $1.8 billion, from $955 million in the same period last year. The company has consistently remained committed to its shareholder obligation, paying uninterrupted dividends to investors for 125 years straight. It currently pays a quarterly dividend of $1.34 per share and has a dividend yield of 2.26%, as of December 13.
Insider Monkey’s database of Q3 2024 indicated that 78 hedge funds held stakes in Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:UNP), compared with 82 in the previous quarter. The collective value of these stakes is over $4.48 billion. Among these hedge funds, Fisher Asset Management was the company’s leading stakeholder in Q3.
Overall UNP ranks 14th on our list of the best income stocks to buy according to analysts. While we acknowledge the potential of UNP as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than UNP but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.