Analyst Explains What Worries Him About Nvidia (NVDA) Heading Into 2025 - InvestingChannel

Analyst Explains What Worries Him About Nvidia (NVDA) Heading Into 2025

We recently published a list of Wall Street Analysts Can’t Stop Talking About These 10 AI Stocks. In this article, we are going to take a look at where NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) stands against other stocks Wall Street analysts can’t stop talking about.

Henry Ajder, Latent Space Advisory founder, said in a latest program on CNBC that lack of fresh data remains a key challenge for the performance of AI systems after a period of “huge” developments and fast learning.

“I think data is the real problem here. We have a finite amount of data available on the internet and a limited number of sources for live, fresh data. I believe this is becoming an increasingly significant challenge, especially as legal issues surrounding how companies obtain and use data are becoming more prominent,” the analyst said.

Ajder believes there won’t be a complete “halt” to the progress in AI systems but in 2025 we are expected to see a slowdown. Answering a question about the AI’s ability to make up data, called synthetic data” to train itself, the analyst said this domain has shown promise but there are risks of synthetic data potentially corrupting the training models.

READ ALSO: 7 Best Stocks to Buy For Long-Term and 8 Cheap Jim Cramer Stocks to Invest In

For this article we picked 10 AI stocks currently trending based on latest news. With each stock we have mentioned the number of hedge fund investors. Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).

Analyst Explains What Worries Him About Nvidia (NVDA) Heading Into 2025 A close-up of a colorful high-end graphics card being plugged in to a gaming computer.

NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA)

Number of Hedge Fund Investors: 193

Howard Chan from Kurv Investment Management said while talking to Schwab Network in a recent program that Wall Street’s high expectations with NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:NVDA) are a concern for him despite the company being a “very strong” player in the AI infrastructure market.

“We think they are a very strong player and maybe a dominant player in the infrastructure space. But, you know, I have to mention that they had a pretty good earnings report this past quarter. However, the market was disappointed, and that’s what we’re worried about because we think the expectations may be too high.”

Chan is right. Simply beating earnings estimates is not enough for NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) anymore, and the impact of high expectations will continue to weigh on the stock as growth cools.

Nvidia’s forward P/E ratio for the fiscal year ending January 2026 is around 31. An EPS surprise of 8.5% was not able to help the stock. A similar trend occurred following the second-quarter earnings after a 5.6% EPS surprise. It’s difficult to see Nvidia maintaining a mid-70s gross margin by the end of 2026. Over the last two quarters, Nvidia has already reported a drop in its gross margin from 78% to 74.5%.

Then there’s competition. Amazon (AMZN) recently disclosed its Trainium 3 chip, which is set to be released by the end of 2025. The chip is expected to be twice as fast with 40% more power efficiency than the previous generation, manufactured on TSMC’s (TSM) cutting-edge N3 technology. Reportedly, technology giant Apple (AAPL) will be a consumer of Amazon’s new silicon.

Parnassus Growth Equity Fund stated the following regarding NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:

“NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares finished the quarter with a negative return, so our underweight (yet still large) position was a relative contributor. Although the semiconductor company released robust quarterly sales figures and issued encouraging guidance for the current quarter, its stock declined amid investor skepticism that its rapid pace of growth can continue.”

Overall, NVDA ranks 5th on our list of stocks Wall Street analysts can’t stop talking about. While we acknowledge the potential of NVDA, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than NVDA but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.

READ NEXT: 8 Best Wide Moat Stocks to Buy Now and 30 Most Important AI Stocks According to BlackRock

Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.

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