We recently compiled a list of the 10 Biggest Dividend Cuts and Suspensions of 2024. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC) stands against the other stocks.
Dividends hold great appeal for investors—they appreciate receiving them and strongly dislike reductions. Despite this, numerous major companies have reduced their dividend payments over time for various reasons. This trend, which gained momentum in 2020, persists as many companies continue to recover from the financial impact of the pandemic, leading to further dividend cuts.
According to research by McKinsey, outside of financial crises, only 1% to 2% of dividend-paying companies reduce their payouts annually, typically involving seven or eight major firms. The key for investors is to identify such companies in advance and avoid them until after the dividend has been reduced, which can present new opportunities. However, predicting which companies might cut dividends can be challenging. Wolfe Research strategist Chris Senyek highlighted three warning signs: excessively high yields, which may indicate underlying problems; high debt levels, which divert cash flow to interest payments rather than shareholders; and a high payout of free cash flow, leaving little cushion for the company in times of economic downturns or recessions.
Also read: 10 Dividend Stocks For Steady Income
While dividend cuts are generally disappointing for investors, Morgan Stanley offers an interesting perspective on them. Although dividend stocks typically suffer when payouts are reduced, some of these stocks might still present opportunities, according to the firm. Companies often cut dividends due to financial difficulties or economic challenges. Research from Morgan Stanley shows that investors usually sell off these stocks in the six months after the cuts are announced. However, once the initial negative reaction is factored in, there may be attractive buying opportunities in certain cases, as noted by strategist Todd Castagno. Here are some comments from the analyst:
“In the 6-months following a change in regular quarterly dividend policy, we found companies that announced a dividend cut of more than -25% underperformed the market by -1,200 bps, on average, while smaller dividend reductions outperformed by +480 bps, on average.”
According to Castagno, one year after announcing a dividend reduction, companies that cut their payouts by 30% or less outperformed the market by 1,900 basis points, while those with cuts deeper than 30% lagged the market by 1,800 basis points on average. Morgan Stanley analyzed Russell 1000 dividend-paying companies that reduced their dividends between 1962 and 2024. Over the past year, numerous companies have lowered their payouts, and the firm compiled a list of 30 such companies, excluding those in the financial, utilities, and real estate sectors. While many firms implemented significant dividend cuts, several reduced their dividends by 30% or less.
That said, many companies have regained strong footing and recovered quickly after the pandemic, which has led to a decline in the number of dividend cuts over the years. A report by S&P Dow Jones Indices revealed that only 27 companies reduced their dividends in Q3 2024, marking a 56.5% decrease from 62 companies in Q3 2023. The total value of these cuts was $4.6 billion in Q3 2024, down from $9.2 billion in the same quarter the previous year. Over the 12 months ending in September 2024, 140 companies reduced their dividend payments, a significant 70.8% drop from 479 cuts in the prior 12-month period. The overall value of dividend decreases for the current period was $19.5 billion, a 26.4% reduction compared to $26.4 billion during the previous 12 months.
Despite these encouraging numbers, many major companies have disappointed investors by reducing their dividend payouts in 2024.
Our Methodology:
For this list, we checked companies that have announced dividend reductions in 2024 due to the current market conditions and other factors and picked 10 prominent names from that list. Next, we ranked these stocks according to the number of hedge fund investors having stakes in them at the end of Q3 2024, according to Insider Monkey’s database.
Why are we interested in the stocks that hedge funds pile into? The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points. (see more details here).
A row of hotel buildings illuminated at night revealing the companies hospitality arm.
Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC)
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 16
Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC) is an American real estate investment trust company that has properties in 46 states across the country. In October, the company announced that it would cut its dividends by 95% to $0.01 per share. The company deemed it wise to lower its distribution in the face of the gradual recovery of its hotel portfolio, ongoing capital improvement and renovation projects, and weakening leverage metrics. This decision aims to bolster the company’s liquidity and improve its financial flexibility. SVC projected that the dividend reduction would save approximately $127 million in liquidity each year. The stock is down by nearly 71% since the start of 2024.
Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC) reported mixed earnings in the third quarter of 2024. The company posted revenue of over $491 million, which fell by 1.14% from the same period last year. In addition to its dividend cut, the company revealed plans to sell 114 focused-service hotels managed by Sonesta, totaling 14,925 rooms and carrying a combined net value of $850 million. The company intends to complete the sales in 2025 and utilize the proceeds to reduce its debt.
That said, Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC) stated that these actions would significantly increase liquidity, providing greater flexibility to lower leverage and focus investments on full-service hotels with the highest growth potential. It expressed confidence that optimizing the portfolio, maintaining steady cash flows from the net lease segment, and adhering to disciplined capital management would enhance performance and deliver long-term value for SVC shareholders.
Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC) currently offers a quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share and has a dividend yield of 1.61%, as of December 22. It is among the stocks with recent dividend cuts.
As of the close of Q3 2024, 16 hedge funds tracked by Insider Monkey held stakes in Service Properties Trust (NASDAQ:SVC), down from 18 in the preceding quarter. These stakes are worth $23.7 million in total. Among these hedge funds, CastleKnight Management was the company’s largest stakeholder at the end of Q3.
Overall SVC ranks 9th on our list of the stocks with the biggest dividend cuts in 2024. While we acknowledge the potential of SVC as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than SVC but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.