We recently compiled a list of the 10 Best Stocks to Buy According to Billionaire D.E. Shaw. In this article, we are going to take a look at where Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) stands against the other stocks.
Equity market pricing is never perfect due to supply and demand imbalances, emotional reactions, and errors. Billionaire investor David Elliot Shaw excels at detecting and exploiting these inefficiencies to generate shareholder value. Unlike most hedge fund managers who rely on intuition, Shaw uses sophisticated mathematical models and algorithms for investment decisions. Over the years, he has developed software and hardware to gain an edge in investment opportunities.
Born in 1951, David E. Shaw became a successful billionaire scientist and hedge fund manager. After earning a PhD from Stanford in 1980, he founded D.E. Shaw & Co. in 1988 with six employees and $28 million in capital. The hedge fund has averaged a 12.5% return since inception, with only one down year. Shaw’s firm uses powerful computers and advanced algorithms for quick market responses and risk management, returning over $51 billion to investors. Likewise, it generated a net return of 11.88% between 2001 and 2011. While Shaw’s firm was down by 9% at the height of the financial crisis in 2008, it bounced back to profitability with a 21% return in 2009.
READ ALSO: 10 Best Stocks to Buy According to Billionaire David Einhorn and Billionaire Paul Singer’s Top 12 Long-Term Stock Picks.
D.E. Shaw is expanding and launching new funds. In 2023, they raised money for D.E. Shaw Alkali Fund VI, the newest in their Alkali group. By November 2024, they had secured $1 billion for this fund, focusing on corporate debt, structured credit, and synthetic securitizations.
Last year, the firm also raised $1.1 billion for two new private investment vehicles: D.E. Shaw Voltaic Fund and D.E. Shaw Diopter Fund. In June 2024, D.E. Shaw announced it was raising its second fund in 16 months to target bank capital deals. They filed a private placement notice for D.E. Shaw Diopter Fund II, but the amount wasn’t disclosed.
Bloomberg reported that D.E. Shaw’s largest hedge fund, the D.E. Shaw Composite Fund, gained 9.6% in 2023, outperforming the HFR Global Hedge Fund Index, which was up about 2.5% through December 15. Reuters added that D.E. Shaw’s macro-oriented fund, the Oculus Fund, gained 7.8% in 2023, beating its macroeconomic peers. According to Bloomberg, the Oculus Fund has never had a negative year since it started.
Diversification is another vital arsenal that D.E. Shaw & Co. relies on to spread risk and reduce market volatility. The firm is highly diversified with a portfolio value of about $116.49 billion. While technology stocks account for the most significant share in the equity market at 24.6%, the hedge fund also has stakes in Services at 17.5% and the financial sector at 7.7%. In addition to diversifying holdings, Shaw relies on a multi-strategy approach to squeeze optimum value in the market.
Billionaire D.E. Shaw suggests investing in resilient companies, even as the US Federal Reserve signals fewer interest rate cuts in 2025. Despite three cuts reducing the benchmark rate to 4.25%-4.5%, economic slowdown concerns persist, especially in the labor market. Job growth is mainly in government and health care, while growth in manufacturing, business, and professional services has stagnated.
Our Methodology
To make the list of best stocks to buy according to billionaire D.E. Shaw, we scanned D.E. Shaw & Co investment portfolio. We then settled on the hedge fund’s largest holdings analyzing why they stand out and the number of hedge funds that hold stakes in them. Finally, we ranked the stocks in ascending order based on D.E. Shaw & Co stake value.
At Insider Monkey, we are obsessed with the stocks that hedge funds pile into. The reason is simple: our research has shown that we can outperform the market by imitating the top stock picks of the best hedge funds. Our quarterly newsletter’s strategy selects 14 small-cap and large-cap stocks every quarter and has returned 275% since May 2014, beating its benchmark by 150 percentage points (see more details here).
A close-up of a modern payments terminal with a pile of credit cards on the side.
Visa Inc. (NYSE:V)
D.E. Shaw & Co’s Stake Value: $645.92 Million
Number of Hedge Fund Holders: 165
Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) is one of the largest financial services players that operates as a payment technology company. It offers VisaNet, a processing network that enables payment transaction authorization, clearing and settlement. The stock is up by about 22% for the year, emerging as one of the best stocks to buy, according to billionaire D.E. Shaw.
Visa Inc.’s (NYSE:V) outperformance year to date shows the company outperforming the industry in various metrics. In its fiscal fourth quarter, it delivered $9.6 billion in revenues, up 12% year over year. The increase was driven mainly by an 8% increase in data processing revenues. Additionally, Visa benefits from increased payment volume, transaction processing, and cross-border volumes owing to expanded global operations. Consequently, Visa Inc.’s (NYSE:V) payment volume was up 8% in the fourth quarter due to increased operations in Canada, Europe, and Latin America.
Visa Inc.’s (NYSE:V) revenue has increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11%, and its earnings per share (EPS) increased at a CAGR of 16% between fiscal 2013 and fiscal 2023.
Here is what Qualivian Investment Partners said about Visa Inc. (NYSE:V) in its Q3 2024 investor letter:
“Visa Inc. (NYSE:V): FQ3 2024 revenues and EPS came inline versus consensus estimates with revenue and EPS growing 10% and 12% respectively. Payment volume increased by 7% and the highly profitable cross border volume increased by 14%. Operating margins at 67.1% missed consensus expectations at 67.4%. Management’s commentary on consumer spending for the back half of 2024 suggested a cautious but stable backdrop. Similar to our thoughts on MA, while we do not view V as immune to the macro backdrop, we continue to expect that over the longer term, it will continue to drive and benefit from the digitization of payments globally.
Overall V ranks 7th on our list of the best stocks to buy according to Billionaire D. E. Shaw. While we acknowledge the potential of V as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that under the radar AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns, and doing so within a shorter timeframe. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than V but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article is originally published at Insider Monkey.