We came across a long thesis on Integral Ad Science Holding Corp (NASDAQ:IAS) on ValueInvestorsClub by moonstream. In this article we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on IAS. The company’s shares were trading at $11.34 when this thesis was published, vs. closing price of $10.58 on Jan 2nd.
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Integral Ad Science Holding Corp (NASDAQ:IAS) is a digital advertising verification company that, through the cloud-based technology platform, delivers independent measurement and verification of digital advertising across all devices, channels, and formats. The company’s mission is to be the global benchmark for trust and transparency in the digital media space for the world’s leading brands, publishers, and platforms.
The bull thesis is based on several factors that the author believes are currently misperceived by the markets. First, while not fully immune to economic downturns, the company’s revenues are expected to be much more resilient than overall digital advertising spending. Second, IAS has untapped growth opportunities related to TikTok and Facebook live feed verification which are not yet comprehended by the market. All of this, combined with some additional opportunities with CTV and Oracle, could lead to $300-400 million in incremental revenues for IAS, which are currently not priced in. Third, the author argues that IAS business is of higher quality than what markets believe – this stems from the idea that ad verification is a much stickier business that is unlikely to be disintermediated by the big tech because its inherent value lies in the premise of it being an independent party to review ads.
Due to the abovementioned factors, the author believes that IAS growth will reaccelerate back to high-teens CAGR, which coupled with incremental margin gains, will lead to 20%+ EBITDA CAGR over the next years. Coupled with a slight multiple expansion once the market comprehends the new reality, the author estimates a $27.00 stock price target in 2-3 years, which represents a 155% upside from the current stock price.
While we acknowledge the potential of IAS as an investment, our conviction lies in the belief that some AI stocks hold greater promise for delivering higher returns and doing so within a shorter time frame. If you are looking for an AI stock that is more promising than IAS but that trades at less than 5 times its earnings, check out our report about the cheapest AI stock.
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Disclosure: None. This article was originally published at Insider Monkey.