Stacy Summary: Interesting piece from Constantin Gurdgiev who understands these things better than I do. All I know for sure is that almost every political and economic disaster we see in the world today is due to energy and the need for control of said energy.
Geopolitics of Russian Gas & Oil: BRICS, US, EU and more
So Ukraine is a flashing point of the old battlefields. It is still ‘hot’ but it no longer matters as much as Kiev and Brussels want it to matter. From here on, keep an eye on Latin America, Central Asia and Asia-Pacific for the places where Russian strategy is going to play out next, this time around with BRICS most likely alongside Moscow. The core driver for this change is not Russian ‘nationalist revival’ or Kremlin’s ‘aggressive aspirations’. Instead it is the force of the pince-nez squeeze of Western geopolitical pressures on Russia on its Western flank and Chinese demand for natural resources on the Eastern flank that is driving Russia to a reactive, not pro-active strategy. That this strategy is defensive is clear from its reactive and lagged nature. That this strategy is getting now active is clear from the geographic reach it assumed in recent months.