Some data on active caseloads - InvestingChannel

Some data on active caseloads



Before beginning, note that David Siegel recently interviewed me:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=munQedJ7rSY

The following list is far from complete, but suggestive:

Countries with over 100 total reported cases, and none active:

Mauritius, Faeroe Islands

Countries with over 100 total reported cases, less than ten active:

Cambodia, Brunei, Montenegro, Trinidad

Countries with less than 100 reported active cases, falling rapidly:

Iceland, New Zealand, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Palestine (plus Montana, Alaska, Hawaii)

Countries with less than 200 reported active cases, falling rapidly:

Thailand, Luxembourg, Albania, Andorra

Countries with less than 1000 reported active cases, falling rapidly:

South Korea, Australia, Croatia, Lithuania, Tunisia

Countries with less than 2000 reported active cases, falling rapidly:

Switzerland, Austria, Denmark, Norway (probably, no hard data), Malaysia

Countries with less than 20,000 reported active cases, falling rapidly:

Germany, Japan, Ireland, Israel, Czechia

What can we infer from this list? Total caseloads in the US continue to rise (now over a million), although it’s starting to level off. Global totals also continue to rise. But there are many countries with fast falling caseloads, some approaching zero. And these countries are of all types: big & small, rich & poor, East & West, hot & cold, state capacity and state incompetence.

In a few weeks, almost all of these countries will have many fewer cases than they have right now. I’ll try to remember to revisit this list in mid-June. The world is dividing into two groups, the successful and the failed states. Sometimes (as in the USA) you have both types in the very same country.

PS. Of all the countries on my list, Germany has by far the biggest active caseload. But even its active caseload graph has the characteristic shape:

PPS. Countries on this list continue to see declining active caseloads even when hit by secondary waves, as in South Korea.



Related posts

Carl Icahn Increases His Stake In Take-Two Interactive To 10.68%

ValueWalk

iPad Mini Display Outperformed By Kindle Fire HD & Nexus 7

ValueWalk

Foxconn Might Open Manufacturing Plants In The U.S. [REPORT]

ValueWalk

Peter Cundill Protégé Tim McElvaine on Investing in Japan [VIDEO]

ValueWalk

Set Bing Home Page Image As Lock Screen In Windows 8

ValueWalk

Morning Market News: JCP, APO, MCHP, ZIP, ENR, LGF, EA, ATVI, COV, LNT

ValueWalk