Excerpt:
And yesterday, in an interview with Bilal Hafeez, Ivy Zelman, CEO of Zelman & Associates forecast national house price declines of 4% in 2023, and 5% in 2024: Ivy Zelman on the Coming US Housing Crisis (price discussion starts at around 20:00)
There are some mortgage guard rails that could mitigate nationally a severe downturn, and yet the magnitude of the decline for us – the 4% that we are expecting in 2023, and 5% in 2024 -I feel like it is a starting point … the speed of the declines makes us feel like that maybe that could be conservative. But we could see double digit price corrections [in the] hot markets.
There are some factors arguing against national price declines. …
But there are also factors arguing for national price declines.