Will Friday’s Jobs Data Beat or Miss?
Friday’s monthly nonfarm payrolls data from the BLS should easily beat consensus expectations. Here’s why. Withholding taxes, which constitute the bulk of the Federal government’s...
Category : Ideas & Strategies
Here’s The Evidence That It Wasn’t QE That Drove Down Long Term Rates – Video
This video by Wall Street Examiner Productions answers the question. Click HERE for Video If you are receiving this by email, click here to view....
How to Turn the Lagging S&P/Case-Shiller Home Index into a Leading Indicator
The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index shows that a) real estate prices have been recovering and b) the performance of real estate ETFs is out of...
Volatility Trading Within the Limits of Arbitrage?
Some market inefficiencies are not easily exploitable. Sometimes, large inefficiencies become popular enough that the activity of arbitrageurs makes them into small inefficiencies. And sometimes...
S&P 500 Hits Head-and Shoulders Target
There are times when short-term charts offer little to no guidance, and there are times when a chart just oozes with valuable clues about the...
The Good News About Correlation
High implied correlation is a like an ongoing murmur of doubt about the ability of individual equities to trade on their own fundamentals. In “ Two...
Up 28% – Will Apple’s Resurgence Last?
Based on chart analysis, AAPL has more room to rally and seasonality allows for higher prices. However, there is one fly in the ointment that...
A Long-Term Look at the S&P 500 Volatility Risk Premium
Some clients here and readers on Twitter asked for a long-term look at the relationship between the historical volatility of the S&P 500 and the...
Will $100+ Oil Be a Problem for the Economy?
It’s summer and there’s usually a big buzz about gas and oil prices this time of the year. But there’s been little talk about oil’s...
Weekly ETF SPY: Lumber Prices and Lumber Related ETFs
At first glance you probably won’t be interested in lumber and lumber prices. But, you should know that lumber prices have a good track record...