In addition to Case-Shiller, and CoreLogic, I’m also watching the FNC, Zillow and several other house price indexes.
FNC released their July index data today. FNC reported that their Residential Price Index™ (RPI) indicates that U.S. residential property values increased 0.6% from June to July (Composite 100 index, not seasonally adjusted). The other RPIs (10-MSA, 20-MSA, 30-MSA) increased between 0.4% and 0.6% in July. These indexes are not seasonally adjusted (NSA), and are for non-distressed home sales (excluding foreclosure auction sales, REO sales, and short sales).
The year-over-year (YoY) change slowed in July, with the 100-MSA composite up 7.4% compared to July 2013. For FNC, the YoY increase has been slowing since peaking in February at 9.4%.
The index is still down 19.5% from the peak in 2006.
Click on graph for larger image.
This graph shows the year-over-year change based on the FNC index (four composites) through July 2014. The FNC indexes are hedonic price indexes using a blend of sold homes and real-time appraisals.
All of the price indexes are now showing a slowdown in price increases.
The July Case-Shiller index will be released on Tuesday, September 30th, and I expect Case-Shiller to show a further slowdown in YoY price increases.