Author : Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

I announced on February 22 Goodbye Blogger, Hello WordPress: Mish's GlobalEconomicAnalysis has Moved to MishTalk.Com. My needs outgrew blogger.The top reason is that I wanted...

It's been a long run, but I am leaving Google Blogger for a new home on WordPress.Please bookmark my new site: http://mishtalk.com/Why Leave? My needs...

Ted Cruz was the surprise winner in the Iowa Republican caucuses tonight edging out Donald Trump who in turn edged out Marco Rubio in a...

"Blue Chip" OptimismThe Atlanta Fed initial GDPNow Forecast for first quarter 2016 starts of will an anemic 1.2% whimper."The initial GDPNow model forecast for real...

Economists expecting a huge surge in construction spending thanks to unusually warm December weather were no doubt shocked by today's anemic report. The Econoday Consensus...

China's manufacturing extended its long slump according to the Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI. Chinese manufacturers signaled a modest deterioration in operating conditions at the...

On January 18, I sent the article below (starting with the title Nate Silver Off the Mark on Donald Trump Nomination Odds)  to the New...

Economists have a perfect track record of 100% failure in ability to predict a recession. In a recession that's at least 20% likely to have...

No one has called long-duration treasury yields better than Lacy Hunt at Hoisington Management. He says they are going lower. If the US is in...