Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 39 states in April - InvestingChannel

Philly Fed: State Coincident Indexes increased in 39 states in April

From the Philly Fed:

he Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has released the coincident indexes for the 50 states for April 2016. In the past month, the indexes increased in 39 states, decreased in seven, and remained stable in four, for a one-month diffusion index of 64. Over the past three months, the indexes increased in 42 states, decreased in seven, and remained stable in one, for a three-month diffusion index of 70

Note: These are coincident indexes constructed from state employment data. An explanation from the Philly Fed:

The coincident indexes combine four state-level indicators to summarize current economic conditions in a single statistic. The four state-level variables in each coincident index are nonfarm payroll employment, average hours worked in manufacturing, the unemployment rate, and wage and salary disbursements deflated by the consumer price index (U.S. city average). The trend for each state’s index is set to the trend of its gross domestic product (GDP), so long-term growth in the state’s index matches long-term growth in its GDP.

Philly Fed Number of States with Increasing ActivityClick on graph for larger image.

This is a graph is of the number of states with one month increasing activity according to the Philly Fed. This graph includes states with minor increases (the Philly Fed lists as unchanged).

In April, 41 states had increasing activity including minor increases.

Five states have seen declines over the last 6 months, in order they are Wyoming (worst), North Dakota, Alaska, Louisiana and Oklahoma – mostly due to the decline in oil prices.

Philly Fed State Conincident Map Here is a map of the three month change in the Philly Fed state coincident indicators. This map was all red during the worst of the recession, and is mostly green now.

Source: Philly Fed.

Related posts

Idiocy in Spain: Bank Proposal to Build More Houses, Issue More Mortgages, Despite Massive Inventory and Enormous Drop in Sales

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

Sky City: China to Build World’s Tallest Building, 220 Stories, in 90 Days

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

It’s No Wonder People Don’t Understand the “Public” Debt

Angry Bear

EU Budget Laugh of the Day “No One Is Discussing Quality”

Mish Global Economic Trend Analysis

Via Barry Ritholtz’s  Big Picture comes this PBS six minute …

Angry Bear

Politics and Specific Policies

Angry Bear